No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $25.07
- Potential payout
- $28.33
- Potential profit
- $3.26
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $7.22
Polymarket Trader
allisonkirk
0x9282abe3c93343cc43dc6fc7e9e5a0ede316cf25
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $25.07
- Realized PnL
- $143.31
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.63
- Potential profit
- $21.63
- User PnL
- -$17.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.83
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.8
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.09
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.96
No position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.59
Pistons position
Pistons vs. 76ers
Ends Nov 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.96
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.64
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.47
Timberwolves position
Timberwolves vs. Jazz
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.31
Stars position
Stars vs. Predators
Ends Nov 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.81
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.59
Cavaliers position
Pistons vs. Cavaliers
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.07
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.44
Yes position
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will XRP reach $3.20 in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $95k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Solana reach $270 in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
Ends Aug 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 27?No 63% 28.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 26?No 80% 21.63 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 24?No 59.7% 44.19 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?Yes 72% 15.85 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 21?No 72% 38 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 18?No 65.5% 40.82 shares
- Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No 99.2% 354.81 shares
- Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No 99.4% 354.81 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No 97.9% 360.87 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No 98% 360.88 shares
- Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No 99.2% 364.28 shares
- Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No 99.4% 364.29 shares