Yes position
Will Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- User PnL
- -$140
Polymarket Trader
Torin81
0x92902c21e3bbfc2398a1062d9400c16eea133452
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $548.21
- Realized PnL
- $7.38K
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- User PnL
- -$562.98
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $3.15
- Potential payout
- $899.99
- Potential profit
- $896.84
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$194.85
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $33.27
- Potential payout
- $899.21
- Potential profit
- $865.94
- Multiplier
- 27.03x
- User PnL
- -$180.46
Yes position
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $549.98
- Potential profit
- $549.98
- User PnL
- -$97.49
Yes position
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 37%
- Current value
- $147.99
- Potential payout
- $399.98
- Potential profit
- $251.99
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $103.97
- Potential payout
- $399.9
- Potential profit
- $295.92
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$23.99
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49%
- Current value
- $171.49
- Potential payout
- $349.98
- Potential profit
- $178.49
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- -$45.99
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $249.99
- Potential profit
- $249.99
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 71%
- Current value
- $56.12
- Potential payout
- $79.04
- Potential profit
- $22.92
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- $3.16
Yes position
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $0.46
- Potential payout
- $40.02
- Potential profit
- $39.56
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$11.39
No position
Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $30.64
- Potential payout
- $31.31
- Potential profit
- $0.67
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $3.08
Yes position
Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $1.11
- Potential payout
- $2.44
- Potential profit
- $1.33
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.36K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $818.88
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $700.01
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $320.99
No position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $303
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300
Yes position
Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $285
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $265
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $252.5
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $219
No position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $162
Yes position
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.49
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $51
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.35
No position
US strike on Mexico by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45
No position
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20
No position
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.18
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$24
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$24
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?Yes 67% 6.64 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?Yes 5% 100 shares
- Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?Yes 4.6% 88.5 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?Yes 8% 20 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?Yes 2.7% 1,195.38 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?Yes 17% 113.27 shares
- Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?Yes 99.4% 255.05 shares
- Will Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?Yes 10% 402.03 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?Yes 11% 200 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?Yes 15% 300 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?Yes 15% 300 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?Yes 23% 13.76 shares