Polymarket Trader

cenatograma

0x9290fa782c5a3cc90cd23c9878ddaecb80ab832c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $328.63
Realized PnL: -$108.01
Win rate: 44.4%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 9
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.73K
Potential profit: $38.73K
User PnL: -$86.71

Yes position

Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $51.82
Potential payout: $3.14K
Potential profit: $3.09K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$105.97

Yes position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $196.34
Potential payout: $1.56K
Potential profit: $1.37K
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: $92.84

Yes position

Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $1.06K
User PnL: -$123.01

Yes position

Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $38.37
Potential payout: $667.37
Potential profit: $628.99
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$22.63

No position

Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $475.58
Potential profit: $475.58
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $330
Potential profit: $330
User PnL: -$20.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $254.52
Potential profit: $254.52
User PnL: -$39.81

Yes position

Jesus Christ return before 2027 Odds >5% February 17, 12-1 AM?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $201.5
Potential profit: $201.5
User PnL: -$50

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$80

No position

US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $113.64
Potential profit: $113.64
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$14.4

Yes position

Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $42.1
Potential payout: $81.74
Potential profit: $39.64
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$7.9

Yes position

Iran leadership change by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$38.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.37
Potential profit: $40.37
User PnL: -$14.3

Over position

Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.95
Potential profit: $36.95
User PnL: -$12.09

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.85
Potential profit: $32.85
User PnL: -$19.71

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Joao Fonseca position

Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.3

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.82

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.51

Yes position

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Drake perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

GPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$14.46

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released by February 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$140.23

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 4.4% 113.64 shares
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 2.5

Over 19.4% 16.95 shares
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Yes 5.9% 20 shares
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Yes 19.2% 182.29 shares
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Yes 9.9% 303.81 shares
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic

Joao Fonseca 40% 25 shares
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic

Joao Fonseca 33% 30.3 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Down 22% 21.45 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Down 51% 18.92 shares
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?

Yes 4.8% 1,807.29 shares
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?

Yes 4.2% 27.9 shares
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Yes 6.1% 15 shares