Polymarket Trader

0x929a8Eb9bE3Dc9Fa54970F10b8195766F1095ab4-1774939223503

0x929a8eb9be3dc9fa54970f10b8195766f1095ab4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $41.64
Realized PnL: $1.58K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.26
Potential payout: $514.46
Potential profit: $514.2
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.98

Yes position

Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.52
Potential payout: $347.79
Potential profit: $347.27
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.72

Yes position

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.87
Potential payout: $347.79
Potential profit: $346.92
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.37

Yes position

Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 9.6%
Current value: $17.68
Potential payout: $184.15
Potential profit: $166.47
Multiplier: 10.42x
User PnL: -$19.82

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.39
Potential payout: $157.31
Potential profit: $156.92
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.85

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.57
Potential payout: $125.56
Potential profit: $125
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.68

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $97.79
Potential profit: $97.64
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.09

Yes position

Will Kai Havertz score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $4.66
Potential payout: $93.23
Potential profit: $88.57
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$15.34

Yes position

Will Erling Haaland score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 74%
Current value: $15.04
Potential payout: $20.32
Potential profit: $5.28
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: $5.49

Yes position

Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $14.45
Potential profit: $14.43
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $14.45
Potential profit: $14.44
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $14.45
Potential profit: $14.44
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $0.27
Potential payout: $14.45
Potential profit: $14.18
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $14.45
Potential profit: $14.27
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $14.45
Potential profit: $14.44
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $14.45
Potential profit: $14.44
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $14.45
Potential profit: $14.29
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $14.45
Potential profit: $14.44
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $14.45
Potential profit: $14.44
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $14.45
Potential profit: $14.43
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $14.45
Potential profit: $14.42
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $14.45
Potential profit: $14.42
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $14.45
Potential profit: $14.44
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $0.73
Potential payout: $14.45
Potential profit: $13.72
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: $0.49

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $234.37

Yes position

Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.38

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Mark Rutte in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $103.89

Yes position

Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.58

No position

Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.29

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.26

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.38

Yes position

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.71

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.44

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 13?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.6

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.37

Yes position

Will Green Left be part of the next Government of Denmark?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.82

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.99

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.04

Yes position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.19

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.18

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.43

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.47

No position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $38.18

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $35.58

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.26

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33

No position

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $32.17

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.93

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?

Yes 90% 82.64 shares
Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 19, 2026?

No 99.3% 1.01 shares
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?

Yes 90% 83.64 shares
Will Starmer say "Thank" 5+ times during resignation?

Yes 40% 19.31 shares
Will Starmer say "NHS" 3+ times during resignation?

No 58% 6.37 shares
Will Starmer say "NHS" 3+ times during resignation?

No 58.8% 27.3 shares
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?

Yes 94% 17.02 shares
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?

Yes 94% 14.87 shares
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?

Yes 93.8% 135.39 shares
Will Starmer say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during resignation?

Yes 53% 6.25 shares
Will Starmer say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during resignation?

Yes 53% 7.44 shares
Will Starmer say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during resignation?

Yes 55% 14.97 shares