Polymarket Trader

Trustinghorse

0x92a6294cd55b9c6ccd57efaffc365ad943118b84

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $162.13K
Realized PnL: $114.85K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $55.71K
Potential payout: $55.74K
Potential profit: $27.87
User PnL: $9.63K

Yes position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $52.7K
Potential payout: $52.72K
Potential profit: $26.36
User PnL: $565.14

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $34.67K
Potential payout: $34.72K
Potential profit: $52.08
User PnL: $5.67K

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $10.13K
Potential payout: $11.07K
Potential profit: $940.86
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $1.75K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $8.92K
Potential payout: $8.93K
Potential profit: $4.46
User PnL: $1.07K

Yes position

Nancy Guthrie kidnapper arrested by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$164

Yes position

Will "Kawhi" or "Leonard" be said on ICEMAN?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$14.85

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.59K

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.79K

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.89K

Yes position

Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.89K

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.04K

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.01K

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.28K

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.58K

No position

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.13K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.45K

No position

US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.12K

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.9K

No position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.28K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.9K

Yes position

U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.69K

No position

Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.67K

Yes position

Will Bad Bunny perform at the 2026 Grammy Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.46K

No position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.39K

Yes position

Will the US strike Somalia next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.18K

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03K

No position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2K

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.92K

Yes position

Will the US strike Somalia next?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.84K

No position

Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.82K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Yes 98.8% 105.76 shares
Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Yes 98.8% 105.76 shares
Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Yes 98.8% 105.76 shares
Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Yes 98.9% 364.4 shares
Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Yes 98.8% 936.65 shares
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

Yes 99% 98.98 shares
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

Yes 98.7% 2,500 shares
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

Yes 99% 1,253.79 shares
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

Yes 98.9% 12,200 shares
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

Yes 98% 409.09 shares
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

Yes 99% 266.67 shares
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

Yes 98.9% 12,735.29 shares