No position
Kash Patel out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $2.13K
- Potential payout
- $2.21K
- Potential profit
- $80.83
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $2.13K
Polymarket Trader
schmoop
0x92a72063137ecefd14935f049d79247a319085c0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.13K
- Realized PnL
- $4.81K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump impose tariffs on Taiwan in the first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33K
Yes position
Will Trump impose a blanket tariff of 20-30% on the EU by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $709.37
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $406.06
No position
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $325.58
Yes position
Will Trump say 'crypto' or 'Bitcoin' during the 2025 State of the Union?
Ends Mar 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $236.67
No position
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230.13
No position
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161.4
No position
Will Trump say 'NATO' during the 2025 State of the Union?
Ends Mar 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.15
Yes position
Will John Curtis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.62
No position
Will Trump say 'Peace' 10+ times during the 2025 State of the Union?
Ends Mar 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125
No position
Gold missing from Fort Knox?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.28
No position
Will Trump end USAID in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.93
No position
Will Trump remove tariff on Canada before March?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.91
Yes position
Will Trump pass a border/immigration law in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.5
No position
Trump executive order cutting Department of Education by Friday?
Ends Feb 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.65
No position
Will Trump issue an executive order on February 21?
Ends Feb 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.02
Yes position
Will Trump impose tariffs on the EU in the first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.1
No position
North Korea missile test by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.75
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.71
No position
Will Trump remove tariff on Mexico before March?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.42
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.28
No position
Trump cuts taxes in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.25
Yes position
Google Maps renames it "Gulf of America" before March?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.06
No position
Will Trump announce withdrawal from Syria in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.94
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Kash Patel out by June 30?No 93.9% 86 shares
- Kash Patel out by June 30?No 94% 2,128.4 shares
- Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No 68% 2,082.79 shares
- Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?No 90.8% 1,588.74 shares
- Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?No 62% 4.48 shares
- Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?No 62% 1,584.26 shares
- US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?No 90.9% 802.88 shares
- Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?Yes 33% 606.06 shares
- Khamenei seen in public before July?No 47.4% 422.1 shares
- Trump exits Iran nuclear negotiations before July?No 89.8% 222.66 shares
- North Korea missile test by June 30?No 77.9% 256.75 shares
- US military action against Iran by Monday?No 86% 465.12 shares