Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $139.04
- Potential payout
- $25.28K
- Potential profit
- $25.14K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$470.24
Polymarket Trader
ba77ixg4xj6w
0x92c196aca632e50cc4153d77cb0a79069ad33193
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $413.93
- Realized PnL
- $74.45
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.8%
- Current value
- $269.47
- Potential payout
- $5.61K
- Potential profit
- $5.34K
- Multiplier
- 20.83x
- User PnL
- -$23.51
Yes position
Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $5.42
- Potential payout
- $38.7
- Potential profit
- $33.28
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$2.18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.47
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on April 9?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.71
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.65
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.81
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.24
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.39
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 12°C on April 9?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.71
Over position
Lillestrøm SK vs. IK Start: O/U 1.5
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on April 9?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.97
Yes position
New England Revolution vs. Columbus Crew: Both Teams to Score
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 76°F or higher on April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
FK Bodø/Glimt position
Spread: Aalesunds FK (-1.5)
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C or higher on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
Inter Miami CF position
Spread: Colorado Rapids SC (-2.5)
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
Down position
XRP Up or Down - April 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or higher on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 76°F or higher on April 9?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C or below on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 74°F or higher on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Vancouver Whitecaps FC position
Spread: Sporting Kansas City (-2.5)
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes 3.7% 188.72 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes 3.6% 277.78 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes 3.7% 676.08 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes 3.5% 257.14 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes 3.4% 290.24 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes 4% 200 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes 4% 1,250.4 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes 3.9% 481.08 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes 3.7% 270.27 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes 6% 166.67 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes 6% 166.67 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 9?Yes 29.8% 10.07 shares