No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.7%
- Current value
- $813.87
- Potential payout
- $1.78K
- Potential profit
- $968.98
- Multiplier
- 2.19x
- User PnL
- $716.87
Polymarket Trader
fierce1
0x92c285f2f1931c82697a7b16cdeff95d532a881b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $813.87
- Realized PnL
- $547.59
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Michael Chandler position
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $343.75
- Potential profit
- $343.75
- User PnL
- -$55
Canadiens position
Sabres vs. Canadiens
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $312.5
- Potential profit
- $312.5
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $113.64
- Potential profit
- $113.64
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $91.74
- Potential profit
- $91.74
- User PnL
- -$10
Aiemann Zahabi position
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $86.96
- Potential profit
- $86.96
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.98
- Potential profit
- $83.98
- User PnL
- -$14.43
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $77.78
- Potential profit
- $77.78
- User PnL
- -$35
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $76.92
- User PnL
- -$20
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61.32
- Potential profit
- $61.32
- User PnL
- -$20
Edmen Shahbazyan position
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.63
- Potential profit
- $52.63
- User PnL
- -$20
NRG position
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $45.45
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.44
- Potential profit
- $44.44
- User PnL
- -$20
Derrick Lewis position
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $41.67
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $38.46
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.09
- Potential profit
- $35.09
- User PnL
- -$20
MOUZ position
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.28
- Potential profit
- $21.28
- User PnL
- -$10
Tallison Teixeira position
UFC Fight Night: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Tallison Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.83
- Potential profit
- $20.83
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Yaroslav Amosov win by KO or TKO?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.83
- Potential profit
- $20.83
- User PnL
- -$5
TheMongolz position
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.52
- Potential profit
- $18.52
- User PnL
- -$5
Canadiens position
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$5
Canadiens position
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $14.29
- User PnL
- -$5
Waldo Cortes-Acosta position
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.36
- Potential profit
- $11.36
- User PnL
- -$5
Canadiens position
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.36
- Potential profit
- $11.36
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Golden Knights position
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $170
Bryce Mitchell position
UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.67
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.86
Canadiens position
Sabres vs. Canadiens
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $35
Canadiens position
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.89
Yes position
UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.58
Sean Strickland position
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.28
No position
Enhanced Games: Hafthor Bjornsson Heaviest Deadlift Over 510 Kg?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.81
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.1
Yaroslav Amosov position
UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.22
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.25
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5
FURIA position
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $0
Justin Gaethje position
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$0.69
Yes position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$1.55
Yes position
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$1.62
Gabriel Bonfim position
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.53
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 5.4% 1,782.85 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETDown 27% 92.59 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETDown 48% 125 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETDown 20% 125 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETUp 51% 48.07 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETUp 52% 48.08 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?Yes 0.4% 909.09 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June?Yes 7.9% 466.24 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)Michael Chandler 16% 187.5 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)Aiemann Zahabi 23% 86.96 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)Michael Chandler 16% 156.25 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)Derrick Lewis 24% 41.67 shares