Polymarket Trader

Clesta

0x92c48a25952dbc9ef53683577da5936484328767

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $266.96
Realized PnL: $1.24K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $238.76
Potential profit: $238.76
User PnL: -$75

Yes position

Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $59.95
Potential payout: $184.45
Potential profit: $124.5
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$13.83

Warriors position

Warriors vs. Nuggets

Ends Nov 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $167.39
Potential profit: $167.39
User PnL: -$47

Yes position

Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $2.41
Potential payout: $137.93
Potential profit: $135.52
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$1.59

Lakers position

Thunder vs. Lakers

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$30

Kings position

Timberwolves vs. Kings

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $123.5
Potential profit: $123.5
User PnL: -$46

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 36%
Current value: $43.28
Potential payout: $120.22
Potential profit: $76.94
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: -$5.72

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 43%
Current value: $47.99
Potential payout: $111.61
Potential profit: $63.62
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: -$2.01

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $39.63
Potential payout: $102.94
Potential profit: $63.31
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $4.63

Kings position

Kings vs. Bulls

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $97.65
Potential profit: $97.65
User PnL: -$47

Yes position

Will Trump say "Farmer" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $85.41
Potential profit: $85.41
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $39.01
Potential payout: $78.02
Potential profit: $39.01
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: -$5.99

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Hawks

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77.43
Potential profit: $77.43
User PnL: -$57

Yes position

Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $73.37
Potential profit: $73.37
User PnL: -$25

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Cavaliers

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$30

Mayweather position

Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $34.69
Potential payout: $68.01
Potential profit: $33.33
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: -$10.31

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Nuggets

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67.57
Potential profit: $67.57
User PnL: -$25

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Thunder

Ends Nov 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.05
Potential profit: $66.05
User PnL: -$25

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Trail Blazers

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.79
Potential profit: $63.79
User PnL: -$45

Ninjas in Pyjamas position

Rainbow Six Siege: Falcons Esport vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Group Stage

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.17
Potential profit: $62.17
User PnL: -$25

Black Dragons e-Sports position

Rainbow Six Siege: Black Dragons e-Sports vs LOS (BO1) - South America League Stage 1 Group Stage

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.39
Potential profit: $49.39
User PnL: -$20

Kings position

Kings vs. Timberwolves

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.06
Potential profit: $47.06
User PnL: -$8

Warriors position

Warriors vs. Trail Blazers

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $435.9

Sean Strickland position

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156.69

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Trail Blazers

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.99

No position

GTA VI released in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.54

DarkZero Esports position

Rainbow Six Siege: FaZe Clan vs DarkZero Esports (BO3) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Playoffs

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.67

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Kings

Ends Oct 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.96

Lakers position

Timberwolves vs. Lakers

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.33

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Grizzlies

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.1

Yes position

Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.37

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Timberwolves

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.82

Kings position

Kings vs. Bucks

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.98

Ninjas in Pyjamas position

Rainbow Six Siege: FURIA Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Group Stage

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.21

Lakers position

Spurs vs. Lakers

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.02

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Grizzlies

Ends Apr 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.44

Warriors position

Nuggets vs. Warriors

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.04

Shopify Rebellion position

Rainbow Six Siege: Twisted Minds vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Playoffs

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.98

Miami Heretics position

Call of Duty: Carolina Royal Ravens vs Miami Heretics (BO5) - Call of Duty League Major 3 Group B

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.27

Yes position

Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.64

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Hawks

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.86

Grizzlies position

Pacers vs. Grizzlies

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.83

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Clippers

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.8

Warriors position

Warriors vs. Timberwolves

Ends May 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.75

Warriors position

Clippers vs. Warriors

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.23

Lakers position

Rockets vs. Lakers

Ends Apr 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.74

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Rainbow Six Siege: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs INTZ (BO1) - South America League Stage 1 Group Stage

Ninjas in Pyjamas 82% 8.54 shares
Rainbow Six Siege: CAG Osaka vs KINOTROPE gaming (BO1) - Asia Pacific League APAC North - Stage 1 Group Stage

CAG Osaka 69% 21.74 shares
Rainbow Six Siege: SCARZ vs CAG Osaka (BO1) - Asia Pacific League APAC North - Stage 1 Group Stage

CAG Osaka 72.7% 13.75 shares
Overwatch: ZANSIDE GAMING vs Cheeseburger (BO3) - OCS Korea Stage 2 Group Stage

Cheeseburger 39.5% 25.32 shares
Rainbow Six Siege: FearX vs CAG Osaka (BO1) - Asia Pacific League APAC North - Stage 1 Group Stage

CAG Osaka 55% 18.18 shares
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 2.9% 137.93 shares
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 59.8% 33.42 shares
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?

Yes 38.1% 65.68 shares
Rainbow Six Siege: FaZe Clan vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO1) - South America League Stage 1 Group Stage

Ninjas in Pyjamas 36.1% 27.7 shares
Rainbow Six Siege: Twisted Minds vs Team Secret (BO1) - Europe MENA League Stage 1 Group Stage

Twisted Minds 65.5% 30.53 shares
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 0.7% 187.68 shares
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

Yes 54% 37.04 shares