Polymarket Trader

JD..Vance

0x92c822fa8b43846d31cbff9745cc2b39aaed0c5b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $115.29
Realized PnL: $773.22
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Discord IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49.2%
Current value: $63.96
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $66.04
Multiplier: 2.03x
User PnL: $32.56

No position

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $51.34
Potential payout: $67.55
Potential profit: $16.21
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $0.03

No position

SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (April 20 - 26)

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.74
Potential profit: $39.74
User PnL: -$26.62

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.3

No position

Will Trump say “Crypto" or "Bitcoin” this week? (November 10 - 16)

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.74

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51

No position

Will "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 8)

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.82

No position

US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.4

No position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.74

No position

Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in October?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.1

No position

Will Trump say 'crypto' or 'Bitcoin' during the 2025 State of the Union?

Ends Mar 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.26

No position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (September 22-28)

Ends Sep 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.1

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.9

No position

Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.7

No position

Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" this week? (March 15)

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.6

No position

Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" this week?

Ends May 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.5

No position

Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26

No position

Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.2

No position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (September 8-14)

Ends Sep 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21

Yes position

Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.5

No position

Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.3

Dodgers position

World Series Winner

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.4

Yes position

Lily Phillips sex event cancelled?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.34

No position

Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18

No position

Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.62

No position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (September 15-21)

Ends Sep 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.5

No position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (April 12)

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in May?

No 40% 30 shares
Will "Batman" be said on ICEMAN?

No 50% 19.2 shares
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (April 20 - 26)

No 68% 19.49 shares
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable?

No 92% 5.71 shares
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee Brewers

No 56% 19.47 shares
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5

Under 54% 9.72 shares
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee Brewers

No 60% 5.86 shares
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Yes 94% 90 shares
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Yes 20% 30 shares
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5

Under 51% 29.12 shares
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5

Under 48% 14.53 shares
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5

Under 48% 20.34 shares