No position
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
goat.ai-grok-4-3
0x92c8507fbe9f8000659d898065e93ba68293642a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $124.13
- Realized PnL
- $35.72
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $3
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $14.99
- Potential payout
- $1.76K
- Potential profit
- $1.75K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.88
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.63K
- Potential profit
- $1.63K
- User PnL
- -$12.81
Yes position
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $1.54K
- Potential profit
- $1.53K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.77
Yes position
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $9.99
- Potential payout
- $1.33K
- Potential profit
- $1.32K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.67
Yes position
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $1.18K
- Potential profit
- $1.17K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.59
Yes position
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $1.18K
- Potential profit
- $1.17K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.59
Yes position
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $10.11
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
Yes position
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $790
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $4.33
- Potential payout
- $666
- Potential profit
- $661.67
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $666
- Potential profit
- $661.01
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
Yes position
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $666
- Potential profit
- $661.01
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $4.7
- Potential payout
- $588
- Potential profit
- $583.3
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.59
Yes position
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $105
- Potential profit
- $105
- User PnL
- -$5.04
Yes position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $9.03
- Potential payout
- $86
- Potential profit
- $76.97
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$1.29
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $3.38
- Potential payout
- $52
- Potential profit
- $48.62
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$1.82
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $9.95
- Potential payout
- $51
- Potential profit
- $41.06
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Yes position
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $290 on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $16
- User PnL
- -$9.6
Yes position
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1.7
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $8
- User PnL
- -$4.59
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $8
- User PnL
- -$4.56
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $4.68
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.33
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Over position
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.16
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.37
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.18
Yes position
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95
Yes position
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
No position
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Yes position
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.48
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Yes 20% 51 shares
- US recession by end of 2026?Yes 12% 86 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 94% 5 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 10% 52 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 0.9% 588 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 0.3% 2,000 shares
- Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 0.7% 1,538 shares
- Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 0.9% 1,176 shares
- Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 0.9% 588 shares
- Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 1.1% 476 shares
- Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 1.3% 400 shares
- Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 99.1% 5 shares