Polymarket Trader

Analista.

@Analista_pm

0x92d0cb81e6c891b835c8e0272e8c323095bd269e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.77K
Realized PnL: $27.7K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $55
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.95K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$55

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $525.05
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.48K
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$22.62

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $2.12K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $885.12
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $594.89

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $485.02
Potential payout: $1.98K
Potential profit: $1.49K
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$23.55

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $67.12
Potential payout: $1.95K
Potential profit: $1.88K
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: $35.05

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $5.61
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $1.6K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$8.95

No position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $815.75
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $783.76
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: $49.07

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $1.3K
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $195
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $290

No position

Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $832.05
Potential payout: $1.29K
Potential profit: $457.95
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $486.85

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 93.9%
Current value: $938.61
Potential payout: $999.58
Potential profit: $60.97
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $317.17

Yes position

Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $27.69
Potential payout: $879.02
Potential profit: $851.33
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: -$78.57

Yes position

Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $88.71
Potential payout: $709.68
Potential profit: $620.97
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$308.87

No position

Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $461.27
Potential payout: $498.67
Potential profit: $37.4
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $146.77

No position

Will Pakistan sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $288.67
Potential profit: $288.67
User PnL: -$197.49

No position

Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $45.14
Potential payout: $59.4
Potential profit: $14.26
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $5.45

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.06K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.09K

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.08K

No position

Will Iran strike Oman again in March?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.97K

Yes position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.56K

No position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.52K

Yes position

Will the US strike Somalia next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.37K

Yes position

US strike on Syria by December 31?

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03K

Yes position

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $991.87

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $955.5

Yes position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $901.08

No position

Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $878.36

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $872.44

No position

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $827.44

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $790.99

No position

US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $775.76

Yes position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $771.8

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $724

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $710.49

No position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $703.91

No position

US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $701.65

Yes position

Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $700.54

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $691.56

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?

Yes 33.1% 220 shares
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?

Yes 12.2% 290.74 shares
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 19?

Yes 0.8% 1,107.02 shares
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?

Yes 6.7% 1,000 shares
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?

Yes 25.8% 2,000 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

No 65% 203 shares
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?

Yes 14% 391 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 37% 2,000.36 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 46% 786.47 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

No 58% 300 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Yes 59% 500 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Yes 59.9% 500 shares