0x2b9e61d0De219cA47bf209D463978Ea3Fb287D13-1772755741627

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $6.28
Potential payout: $628.27
Potential profit: $621.99
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: -$11.72

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.05
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.9
Potential payout: $72
Potential profit: $71.1
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-25?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.18
Potential profit: $41.18
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $28.57
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26
Potential profit: $26
User PnL: -$1.3

Yes position

Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.51
Potential profit: $21.51
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $1.48
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.52
Multiplier: 13.51x
User PnL: $0.48

Yes position

Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$2.4

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.34
Potential profit: $14.34
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.62
Potential profit: $9.62
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $6.25
User PnL: -$1.13

Yes position

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$1.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.78
Potential profit: $2.78
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.63
Potential profit: $2.63
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.75

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.32

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.65

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.51

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.34

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.76

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET