Yes position
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
Jannes55
0x930159d551572b243004021d5d5c7bb0be01e738
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $146.07
- Realized PnL
- $156.66
- Win rate
- 71.4%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $50.95
- Potential payout
- $566.08
- Potential profit
- $515.13
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$49.05
Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.6%
- Current value
- $48.19
- Potential payout
- $563.64
- Potential profit
- $515.44
- Multiplier
- 11.70x
- User PnL
- -$41.81
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $6.35
- Potential payout
- $270.27
- Potential profit
- $263.92
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$13.65
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $39.63
- Potential payout
- $121.95
- Potential profit
- $82.32
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- -$10.37
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $117.65
- Potential profit
- $117.65
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $116.74
- Potential profit
- $116.74
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$14
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$19
Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $0.52
- Potential payout
- $38.51
- Potential profit
- $37.99
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$9.48
No position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $0.43
- Potential payout
- $14.3
- Potential profit
- $13.87
- Multiplier
- 33.33x
- User PnL
- -$9.57
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.08
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $10.06
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.48
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?Yes 0.4% 1,250 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 7.4% 270.27 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 41% 121.95 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes 52.1% 211.37 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 91% 70.42 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 15.9% 188.64 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes 47.3% 211.37 shares
- Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?Yes 26% 38.51 shares
- Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?No 69.9% 14.3 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 71% 70.42 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETUp 0.9% 111.11 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 16% 375 shares