Polymarket Trader

0x931f3b1525A840cB9e080dBCB9a4b1cCE158e4D3-1773993657996

0x931f3b1525a840cb9e080dbcb9a4b1cce158e4d3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $448.66
Realized PnL: $475.61
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Spain position

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $116.79
Potential payout: $214.29
Potential profit: $97.5
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$3.21

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $143.68
Potential profit: $143.68
User PnL: -$125

Over position

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $60.6
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $59.4
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $14.71
Potential payout: $117.65
Potential profit: $102.94
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$5.29

Yes position

Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 16.1%
Current value: $16.37
Potential payout: $101.98
Potential profit: $85.61
Multiplier: 6.23x
User PnL: -$3.63

No position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 86.4%
Current value: $74.06
Potential payout: $85.76
Potential profit: $11.71
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $2.19

Under position

Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75.47
Potential profit: $75.47
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 37.4%
Current value: $18.99
Potential payout: $50.79
Potential profit: $31.79
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $30.17
Potential payout: $33.71
Potential profit: $3.54
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 80.3%
Current value: $26.91
Potential payout: $33.53
Potential profit: $6.62
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: -$1.22

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $22.46
Potential payout: $28.99
Potential profit: $6.52
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $2.46

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $27.46
Potential payout: $27.47
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $7.46

No position

Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $19.05
Potential payout: $27.03
Potential profit: $7.97
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: -$0.95

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $21.1
Potential payout: $24.39
Potential profit: $3.29
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $1.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.27

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.37

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.79

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.79

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.04

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.92

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.47

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.35

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 89% 33.71 shares
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5

Over 50% 120 shares
Spread: Spain (-2.5)

Spain 56% 214.29 shares
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5

Under 53% 75.47 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 70% 114.29 shares
Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw?

No 80% 150 shares
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 87% 143.68 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 57% 307.02 shares
Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

No 72% 48.61 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 89% 67.42 shares
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?

No 96.2% 41.37 shares
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)

Brazil 54% 231.48 shares