Polymarket Trader

alpacafarmer13

0x932074c73880b857fcce6eda97f0d25d5a2649c6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $461.91
Realized PnL: $3.51K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $122.45
Potential payout: $790
Potential profit: $667.55
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $6.45

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $434.24
Potential profit: $434.24
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $416.67
Potential profit: $416.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $259.74
Potential profit: $259.74
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $66.3
Potential payout: $217.39
Potential profit: $151.09
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$33.7

Yes position

Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $7.22
Potential payout: $204.09
Potential profit: $196.87
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: -$2.78

No position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $185.19
Potential profit: $185.19
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $181.82
Potential profit: $181.82
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $175.44
Potential profit: $175.44
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $121.46
Potential payout: $126.58
Potential profit: $5.13
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $21.46

No position

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $96.07
Potential payout: $112.36
Potential profit: $16.29
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$3.93

Yes position

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $48.4
Potential payout: $106.38
Potential profit: $57.98
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$1.6

No position

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.11
Potential profit: $56.11
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$7

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $522.43

Yes position

Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?

Ends Jul 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $431.18

Seahawks position

Seahawks vs. Patriots

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $224.64

No position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $223.88

Eagles position

Super Bowl LIX Winner

Ends Feb 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $216.67

Max Holloway position

UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $206.06

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $163.64

Seahawks position

Seahawks vs. Patriots: 1H Moneyline

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.58

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.22

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.5

Pacers position

Knicks vs. Pacers

Ends Jun 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.18

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Pacers

Ends Jun 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.33

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.08

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.86

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.45

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.68

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo run as a non-Democrat in the general election?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.14

Eagles position

Steelers vs. Eagles

Ends Dec 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.69

76ers position

76ers vs. Celtics

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.21

Sean OMalley position

UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.85

Chiefs position

Raiders vs. Chiefs

Ends Dec 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.3

Down position

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down - October 15

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.99

Rams position

Rams vs. Jets

Ends Dec 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.29

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.74

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?

No 35.6% 56.11 shares
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

Yes 47% 106.38 shares
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 55% 181.82 shares
UFC 329: Cody Garbrandt vs. Adrian Yanez (Bantamweight, Prelims) AND UFC 329: Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison (Heavyweight, Prelims)

71% 69.4 shares
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) AND O/U 1.5 Rounds AND Fight to Go the Distance?

43.2% 45.02 shares
Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO?

Yes 54% 55.56 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Yes 61.5% 81.3 shares
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Max Holloway 66% 151.52 shares
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Max Holloway 66% 454.55 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 79% 126.58 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-09? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? AND Will England win on 2026-07-11?

20.5% 95.27 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Yes 53% 188.68 shares