No position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $58.51
- Potential payout
- $68.84
- Potential profit
- $10.33
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $3.51
Polymarket Trader
blackbird05
0x932f905a638ad6442a7908cd4078692c30a877a6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $58.51
- Realized PnL
- -$10.96
- Win rate
- 84.2%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.17
No position
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.79
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.57
No position
Israel strikes Iran by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.39
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
No position
Will Trump try to fire Powell by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41
No position
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 3?
Ends Oct 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.9
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?No 79.9% 68.84 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes 58% 55.17 shares
- Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?Yes 21.1% 94.79 shares
- Israel strikes Iran by October 31?No 81% 12.59 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 3?No 98.2% 11.3 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?No 97.1% 13.59 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?No 74% 14.73 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?No 98.2% 10.18 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?No 86% 11.86 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?No 96% 11.46 shares
- Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?No 96.5% 11.4 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?No 92% 5.33 shares