Yes position
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $203.75K
- Potential profit
- $203.75K
- User PnL
- -$4.52K
Polymarket Trader
Ex4lted
0x93375e0bf1a3d41f931af02658105c88a480a410
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $534.5
- Realized PnL
- $499
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $183.88K
- Potential profit
- $183.88K
- User PnL
- -$4.65K
Yes position
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $181.41K
- Potential profit
- $181.41K
- User PnL
- -$3.7K
Yes position
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.02K
- Potential profit
- $40.02K
- User PnL
- -$292.58
Yes position
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.81K
- Potential profit
- $24.81K
- User PnL
- -$430.06
Yes position
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $20K
- User PnL
- -$57.9
Yes position
Will Sweden be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.58K
- Potential profit
- $19.58K
- User PnL
- -$161.97
Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $178.25
- Potential payout
- $15.5K
- Potential profit
- $15.32K
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- $7.75
Yes position
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $7.75
- Potential payout
- $15.5K
- Potential profit
- $15.49K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.75
Yes position
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $38.75
- Potential payout
- $15.5K
- Potential profit
- $15.46K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.75
Yes position
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $23.25
- Potential payout
- $15.5K
- Potential profit
- $15.48K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$7.75
Yes position
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $54.25
- Potential payout
- $15.5K
- Potential profit
- $15.45K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$7.75
Yes position
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $23.25
- Potential payout
- $15.5K
- Potential profit
- $15.48K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$7.75
Yes position
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $15K
- User PnL
- -$71.96
Yes position
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $15K
- User PnL
- -$132.48
Yes position
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14K
- Potential profit
- $14K
- User PnL
- -$175.59
Yes position
Will Italy be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.15K
- Potential profit
- $11.15K
- User PnL
- -$93.46
Yes position
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$27.39
Yes position
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9K
- Potential profit
- $9K
- User PnL
- -$67.46
Yes position
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.5K
- Potential profit
- $7.5K
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $13.75
- Potential payout
- $5.5K
- Potential profit
- $5.49K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.75
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $85.25
- Potential payout
- $5.5K
- Potential profit
- $5.41K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- $8.25
Yes position
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $13.75
- Potential payout
- $5.5K
- Potential profit
- $5.49K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.75
Yes position
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $96.25
- Potential payout
- $5.5K
- Potential profit
- $5.4K
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- -$2.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.14
Yes position
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $68.23
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Raptors
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $33.5
Yes position
Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.3
Under position
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 216.5
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.96
Over position
Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 225.5
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.14
Lakers position
Pelicans vs. Lakers
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.93
Yes position
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-02-27?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.4
Yes position
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.68
Cavaliers position
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.16
Over position
Nuggets vs. Jazz: O/U 242.5
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.23
Jazz position
Spread: Knicks (-13.5)
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.85
Over position
Nets vs. Celtics: O/U 209.5
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.22
Yes position
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.66
Under position
Mavericks vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Over position
Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 215.5
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will Poland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Grizzlies position
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.1
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.67
Kings position
Suns vs. Kings
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.4% 5,500 shares
- Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.3% 5,500 shares
- Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.3% 5,500 shares
- Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.1% 15,500 shares
- Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.1% 15,500 shares
- Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.8% 5,500 shares
- Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.4% 15,500 shares
- Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.2% 15,500 shares
- Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.3% 15,500 shares
- Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.2% 15,500 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes 1% 2,915.06 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes 1.5% 11,454 shares