Xylement

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.04
Potential profit: $19.04
User PnL: -$2.95

No position

Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.4%
Current value: $8.85
Potential payout: $17.54
Potential profit: $8.69
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on May 5?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.02
Potential profit: $17.02
User PnL: -$1.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on May 7?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.68
Potential profit: $13.68
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.58
Potential profit: $13.58
User PnL: -$1.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.57
Potential profit: $13.57
User PnL: -$1.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on May 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.11
Potential profit: $13.11
User PnL: -$2.08

Yes position

Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $3.46
Potential payout: $12.16
Potential profit: $8.7
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$5.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on April 29?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $12
User PnL: -$1.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on April 29?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$1.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$1.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 7?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.7
Potential profit: $10.7
User PnL: -$2.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.37
Potential profit: $10.37
User PnL: -$1.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 7?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.35
Potential profit: $10.35
User PnL: -$2.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.99
Potential profit: $9.99
User PnL: -$2.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on May 5?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.49
Potential profit: $9.49
User PnL: -$1.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.37
Potential profit: $9.37
User PnL: -$1.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on May 14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.82
Potential profit: $8.82
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 7?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.57
Potential profit: $8.57
User PnL: -$1.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.57
Potential profit: $8.57
User PnL: -$1.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on May 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.89
Potential profit: $7.89
User PnL: -$1.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.89
Potential profit: $7.89
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 7?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.5
Potential profit: $7.5
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.97
Potential profit: $6.97
User PnL: -$1.53

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on April 29?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on May 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on April 28?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on April 29?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on May 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on May 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on May 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on May 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on May 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on April 28?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on April 28?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on April 28?