Polymarket Trader

coinstudy

0x934532d576861682292a15e788d9a85c0531314d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $20.66
Realized PnL: $354.67
Win rate: 70.8%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will anyone say "DeepMind" during the Q2 2025 Google earnings call?

Ends Jul 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during remarks at Mount Rushmore?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $2.16
Potential payout: $333
Potential profit: $330.84
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$7.83

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $294
Potential profit: $294
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $222
Potential profit: $222
User PnL: -$19.98

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $6.54
Potential payout: $170
Potential profit: $163.45
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: -$3.82

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Ends Oct 28, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $11.55
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $98.45
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $1.65

Hanwha Life Esports position

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G

Ends Sep 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $90
User PnL: -$9.9

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.4
Potential payout: $62
Potential profit: $61.6
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$9.52

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Lee Jun-seok win between 5% and 8% of the vote in the South Korea election?

Ends Jun 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $175.57

Yes position

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.02

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.17

Yes position

Will JD Vance say "Decentralized" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.36

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung win between 47% and 49% of the vote in the South Korea election?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.09

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung win less than 45% of the vote in the South Korea election?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.77

Yes position

Will JD Vance say "Blockchain" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.38

Yes position

Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.26

Yes position

Will Trump say "Nvidia" during his AI speech on July 23?

Ends Jul 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.95

No position

Will Lee Jun-seok win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.4

Yes position

Will Trump say "OpenAI" during his AI speech on July 23?

Ends Jul 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.27

Yes position

Will JD Vance say "Coin" 50+ times during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.93

Yes position

Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Red Sea" during Ohio visit?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.52

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.08

Yes position

Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.91

Yes position

Will valid votes be between 30 million and 32 million in South Korean election?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung win between 45% and 47% of the vote in the South Korea election?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.26

Yes position

Will Trump say "Six Seven" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.23

No position

Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during June Press Conference?

Ends Jun 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.9

Yes position

Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during June Press Conference?

Ends Jun 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will valid votes be between 32 million and 34 million in South Korean election?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$19.7

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 9% 110 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Yes 9% 30.28 shares
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 9% 222 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 17% 117 shares
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 18% 111 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Yes 3.4% 57 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Yes 3.4% 237 shares
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Yes 4% 125 shares
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Yes 99.9% 35 shares
Will Trump say "Nvidia" during his AI speech on July 23?

Yes 99.9% 17 shares
Will Trump say "Nvidia" during his AI speech on July 23?

Yes 59% 17 shares
Will Trump say "OpenAI" during his AI speech on July 23?

Yes 60% 17 shares