Yes position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.07K
- Potential profit
- $6.07K
- User PnL
- -$199.99
Polymarket Trader
MrArbitrage
0x9345663d3dcf5e66bfbe6f68c51569cd89dad3e9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $717.18
- Realized PnL
- $2.25K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $442
- Potential payout
- $5.2K
- Potential profit
- $4.76K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$100.85
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.8%
- Current value
- $275.18
- Potential payout
- $2.16K
- Potential profit
- $1.88K
- Multiplier
- 7.84x
- User PnL
- -$24.82
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.1K
- Potential profit
- $2.1K
- User PnL
- -$104.9
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $891.79
- Potential profit
- $891.79
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $729.02
- Potential profit
- $729.02
- User PnL
- -$451
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Demoor position
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26K
Yes position
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $667.69
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $176
No position
ICE shooter charged by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.87
No position
Israel strike on Damascus by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.28
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 13.9% 2,158.27 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?Yes 12% 2,500 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?No 64.9% 308.15 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?No 62.3% 320.87 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes 12% 200 shares
- ICE shooter charged by March 31?No 61% 163.93 shares
- ICE shooter charged by March 31?No 61% 163.93 shares
- Trump out as President by March 31?Yes 3.6% 2,741.13 shares
- Trump out as President by March 31?Yes 3% 3,324.04 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes 11.2% 891.79 shares
- Maduro out by January 31, 2026?Yes 99.8% 769.23 shares
- Maduro out by January 31, 2026?Yes 13% 769.23 shares