Polymarket Trader

Dafu0715

0x93511d72d294f1478739bc38f578bf0306fd9e4d

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $1.52M
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $194.7K
Potential payout: $200K
Potential profit: $5.3K
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $2.84K

Yes position

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $199.2K
Potential payout: $200K
Potential profit: $800
User PnL: $200.2

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $199.1K
Potential payout: $200K
Potential profit: $900
User PnL: $327.8

No position

Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $79.92K
Potential payout: $80.2K
Potential profit: $280.69
User PnL: -$61.99

No position

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $69.58K
Potential payout: $70K
Potential profit: $420
User PnL: $691.6

No position

Will Asia (AFC) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $68.39K
Potential payout: $70K
Potential profit: $1.61K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $211.4

No position

Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 95.4%
Current value: $66.78K
Potential payout: $70K
Potential profit: $3.22K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$1.23K

No position

Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $67.48K
Potential payout: $70K
Potential profit: $2.52K
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$784.35

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $69.68K
Potential payout: $70K
Potential profit: $315
User PnL: $411.11

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $69.33K
Potential payout: $70K
Potential profit: $665
User PnL: $1.59K

No position

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $61.87K
Potential payout: $63.29K
Potential profit: $1.42K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $197.72

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $59.07K
Potential payout: $60K
Potential profit: $930
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.07K

No position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $48.88K
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $1.13K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$125

No position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.2%
Current value: $47.22K
Potential payout: $49.08K
Potential profit: $1.87K
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$968.38

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $46.84K
Potential payout: $47.39K
Potential profit: $544.93
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $462.01

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $43.49K
Potential payout: $43.78K
Potential profit: $284.54
User PnL: $335.8

No position

Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $38.61K
Potential payout: $39K
Potential profit: $389.96
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $427.2

No position

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $36.07K
Potential payout: $36.34K
Potential profit: $272.56
User PnL: $366.04

No position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $21.18K
Potential payout: $21.85K
Potential profit: $666.46
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$185.3

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $16.24K
Potential payout: $16.33K
Potential profit: $89.82
User PnL: $188.66

No position

Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $7.75K
Potential payout: $7.86K
Potential profit: $110.01
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $63.38

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $4.59K
Potential payout: $4.61K
Potential profit: $20.73
User PnL: $39.16

No position

Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $3.49K
Potential payout: $3.59K
Potential profit: $100.49
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$1.06

No position

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $1.93K
Potential payout: $1.95K
Potential profit: $17.56
User PnL: $11.57

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

No 98.8% 104.52 shares
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?

No 98.7% 5 shares
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?

No 98.1% 90 shares
Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?

No 98.7% 20 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 98% 10,000 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 98% 10,000 shares
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?

No 98.1% 346.42 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 98% 10,000 shares
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?

No 98.7% 193.84 shares
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?

No 97.6% 194.85 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 98% 10,000 shares
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?

No 98.5% 201.1 shares