Polymarket Trader

peterfromfamilyguy

0x93521335308a270795daa9f073b5406938b12227

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $22.57K
Realized PnL: $41.35K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.22K
Potential profit: $9.22K
User PnL: -$609.55

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $1.42K
Potential payout: $8.14K
Potential profit: $6.71K
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$113.57

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.37K
Potential profit: $7.37K
User PnL: -$2.51K

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.3%
Current value: $447
Potential payout: $6.12K
Potential profit: $5.68K
Multiplier: 13.70x
User PnL: -$182.88

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $5.32K
Potential payout: $5.35K
Potential profit: $34.79
User PnL: $349.25

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $2.25K
Potential payout: $4.46K
Potential profit: $2.21K
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$110.24

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $3.67K
Potential payout: $4.39K
Potential profit: $724.59
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $672.36

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 9.9%
Current value: $337.51
Potential payout: $3.43K
Potential profit: $3.09K
Multiplier: 10.15x
User PnL: $45.54

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $2.02K
Potential payout: $3.31K
Potential profit: $1.29K
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: $882.88

Yes position

Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $57.57
Potential payout: $3.29K
Potential profit: $3.23K
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: $4.95

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$24

No position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $185.64
Potential payout: $2.06K
Potential profit: $1.88K
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$194.12

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.6%
Current value: $52
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.95K
Multiplier: 38.46x
User PnL: -$48

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $1.76K
Potential payout: $1.78K
Potential profit: $14.22
User PnL: $214.24

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.75K
Potential profit: $1.75K
User PnL: -$308.13

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.74K
Potential profit: $1.74K
User PnL: -$812.55

No position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $1.56K
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $39.2
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $20

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $1.46K
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $42
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$12.5

No position

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$85.5

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $1.28K
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $217.5
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $22.5

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $25.1
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $1.41K
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$161.33

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 18.1%
Current value: $244.58
Potential payout: $1.36K
Potential profit: $1.11K
Multiplier: 5.54x
User PnL: -$22.23

Yes position

Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $473
Potential payout: $1.17K
Potential profit: $694.9
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $92.12

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $999.99
User PnL: -$170

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.26K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.68K

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.91K

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.68K

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.9K

Yes position

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63K

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.24K

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13K

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $980.01

No position

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $878.32

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $876.8

Yes position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $859.25

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $820.1

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $698.69

Yes position

Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during Cabinet meeting?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $638.23

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $632.88

Yes position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $626.44

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $606.68

Yes position

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $457.03

No position

Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $391.9

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $372.05

No position

Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $297.02

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $275.25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Yes 81.7% 42.68 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Yes 81% 109.42 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Yes 3.4% 157.5 shares
Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Yes 23% 99.98 shares
Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Yes 24.7% 99.98 shares
Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Yes 32.6% 1,167.9 shares
Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Yes 38.2% 64.87 shares
Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

No 72.2% 73.33 shares
Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

No 70.9% 305 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 18, 2026?

Yes 98.8% 3,542.46 shares
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

No 14% 262.66 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Yes 66.5% 166.03 shares