Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.6%
- Current value
- $2.82K
- Potential payout
- $13.75K
- Potential profit
- $10.92K
- Multiplier
- 4.87x
- User PnL
- -$1.18K
Polymarket Trader
Owie
0x9352b91312d0dc6db8c9d21c30c4a3b3db9e6db9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.74K
- Realized PnL
- $2.07K
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $264.09
- Potential payout
- $6.36K
- Potential profit
- $6.1K
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- -$15.9
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.87K
- Potential profit
- $4.87K
- User PnL
- -$2.7K
No position
Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $3.37K
- Potential payout
- $3.38K
- Potential profit
- $1.69
- User PnL
- $373.46
Yes position
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.08K
- Potential profit
- $2.08K
- User PnL
- -$245
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.78K
- Potential profit
- $1.78K
- User PnL
- -$950
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- User PnL
- -$500
No position
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $1.13K
- Potential payout
- $1.22K
- Potential profit
- $91.68
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $130.76
No position
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $1.03K
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $83.33
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $27.77
No position
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.6%
- Current value
- $474.85
- Potential payout
- $554.73
- Potential profit
- $79.88
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$25.15
No position
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $506.45
- Potential payout
- $544.86
- Potential profit
- $38.41
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $6.45
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $137.5
- Potential payout
- $357.14
- Potential profit
- $219.64
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $37.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $674.39
No position
Tim Walz charged by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $461.57
No position
Gavin Newsom out as California Governor in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $364.53
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $362.07
No position
ICE shooter charged by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $266.82
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $219.55
No position
Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $218.2
Yes position
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $208.27
Yes position
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $200.46
Yes position
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $175.19
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.11
No position
Will Drake feature Morgan Wallen on ICEMAN?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.65
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $47.4
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $16.67
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.98
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Multiplier
- 17.54x
- User PnL
- -$29.41
No position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$95.25
Yes position
Will MrBeast buy TikTok before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Arizona Wildcats position
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- -$163.75
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$177.11
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$180
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$213.57
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.8%
- Multiplier
- 2.65x
- User PnL
- -$230.77
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 61% 2,459.02 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 60.9% 328.3 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No 30% 1,666.67 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No 24% 3,857.69 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 48% 2,083.33 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No 25.9% 3,857.69 shares
- AI bubble burst in 2026?No 72.5% 1,239.18 shares
- Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No 76% 416.66 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes 28% 357.14 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 51% 392.16 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 64.9% 308.11 shares
- AI bubble burst in 2026?No 78.1% 1,289.76 shares