Yes position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $15.73
- Potential payout
- $46.26
- Potential profit
- $30.53
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- $5.73
Polymarket Trader
gonchelasfuc
0x93609591988631744fdcb882a11aeb01a893db3c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $16.7
- Realized PnL
- $105.65
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.24
- Potential payout
- $27.7
- Potential profit
- $27.47
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$9.76
Yes position
Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.78
- Potential profit
- $22.78
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $0.73
- Potential payout
- $11.36
- Potential profit
- $10.63
- Multiplier
- 15.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.33
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.36
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.57
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$2.22
Yes position
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$19.77
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 41% 222.22 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 69% 234.38 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No 94.1% 290.69 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 73.7% 234.37 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 48% 222.22 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 99.9% 80.41 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes 0.5% 250 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes 0.4% 250 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 45% 444.44 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 64% 468.75 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No 86% 290.7 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?Yes 0.8% 125 shares