Yes position
Will Tyler Kistner be the Republican Nominee for MN-02?
Ends Aug 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $2.1
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $147.9
- Multiplier
- 71.43x
- User PnL
- -$18.55
Polymarket Trader
hbnva
0x93632fc2852bf44df5d60f56886d3066739d52ca
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.92
- Realized PnL
- $15.93K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $6.52
- Potential payout
- $98.12
- Potential profit
- $91.6
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- -$6.03
Yes position
Will Republican House incumbents not win in three or fewer nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $0.3
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $7.7
- Multiplier
- 27.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.88K
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85K
Yes position
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.15K
No position
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45K
Yes position
Will Catherine Trautmann be the next mayor of Strasbourg?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $993.38
Yes position
Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $638.38
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $367.26
No position
Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $297
Yes position
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $271.66
No position
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $257
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $254.26
No position
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $234.21
No position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $231.9
No position
Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $231.75
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $221
No position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $217.5
No position
Will Jeanne Barseghian be the next mayor of Strasbourg?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $199.57
No position
Will Russia enter Moskovka by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $199
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $182.09
No position
Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $180
No position
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171.5
No position
Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156
No position
Will Lee Won-taek win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $156
No position
Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $150
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Republican House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Yes 22% 9.14 shares
- Will Eric Pratt be the Republican Nominee for MN-02?No 1.7% 149.99 shares
- Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?No 12% 53.05 shares
- Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?Yes 1.2% 800 shares
- Will Russia capture Kindrativka by May 31?No 36.7% 78.78 shares
- Will Russia enter Moskovka by May 31?No 10% 300 shares
- Will Russia enter Moskovka by May 31?No 10% 200 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No 36.8% 800 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?No 17% 5 shares
- Trump kiss by May 31?No 0.1% 300 shares
- Trump kiss by May 31?No 0.1% 2,000 shares
- Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by May 31?No 8% 200 shares