0x93684F86d58c0Dd7573fC41967B7D82F40D70264-1776009233768

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $59.3
Potential payout: $232.56
Potential profit: $173.26
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$40.7

Yes position

Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2026-04-23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $167.36
Potential profit: $167.36
User PnL: -$75.16

Yes position

Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $153.8
Potential profit: $153.8
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $136.49
Potential profit: $136.49
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101.58
Potential profit: $101.58
User PnL: -$9.64

Yes position

Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 28, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.24
Potential profit: $98.24
User PnL: -$0.96

Yes position

Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $1.26
Potential payout: $76.34
Potential profit: $75.08
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$8.74

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72.99
Potential profit: $72.99
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $67.78
Potential profit: $67.68
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$4.9

Yes position

Will Randers FC win on 2026-04-23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$10.7

Yes position

Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $2.05
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $43.41
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$2.95

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $6.43
Potential payout: $44.37
Potential profit: $37.93
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $1.43

No position

Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?

Implied probability: 60%
Current value: $25.03
Potential payout: $41.71
Potential profit: $16.68
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: $15.03

Yes position

Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $1.66
Potential payout: $30.4
Potential profit: $28.74
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: -$8.34

Yes position

Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.13
Potential profit: $29.13
User PnL: -$0.96

Yes position

Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $27.72
Potential profit: $27.65
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$9.93

No position

Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-04-23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$3.55

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $19.5
Potential payout: $19.61
Potential profit: $0.11
User PnL: $9.5

Yes position

Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1520?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.11
Potential profit: $18.11
User PnL: -$2.9

Maks Kasnikowski position

Abidjan: Calvin Hemery vs Maks Kasnikowski

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$6.6

Over position

FC Nordsjælland vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 3.5

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.91
Potential profit: $14.91
User PnL: -$5.57

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Adam Walton position

Madrid Open: Martin Landaluce vs Adam Walton

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.95

Yes position

Will Levante UD win on 2026-04-23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.3

Fiona Ferro position

Oeiras 4: Lucie Havlickova vs Fiona Ferro

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.9

No position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.41

Nishesh Basavareddy position

Savannah: Franco Roncadelli vs Nishesh Basavareddy

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.7

No position

Will FC Fredericia win on 2026-04-23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.34

Under position

Go Ahead Eagles vs. AZ: O/U 2.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.45

No position

Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-04-23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Daniel Merida Aguilar position

Madrid Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.42

No position

Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2026-04-23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.4

Leylah Fernandez position

Madrid Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Julia Grabher

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.35

Yes position

Will Randers FC vs. FC Fredericia end in a draw?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.55

Karim Bennani position

Abidjan: Karim Bennani vs Paul Jubb

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.25

Under position

Randers FC vs. FC Fredericia: O/U 4.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Under position

FC Nordsjælland vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 2.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.8

Gauthier Onclin position

Abidjan: Gauthier Onclin vs Cesar Bouchelaghem

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

Over position

Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 2.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2

Under position

El Mokawloon El Arab SC vs. El Ittihad SC El Iskandary: O/U 1.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Over position

Randers FC vs. FC Fredericia: O/U 3.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.95

Under position

Go Ahead Eagles vs. AZ: O/U 3.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.95

No position

Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-04-23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

No position

Will AZ win on 2026-04-23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.65

Yes position

FC Nordsjælland vs. Aarhus GF: Both Teams to Score

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45

Naomi Osaka position

Madrid Open: Camila Osorio vs Naomi Osaka