Polymarket Trader

ranya.soll

0x9378454b0a883f95d570971e4735557f394c796c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.5
Realized PnL: $143.01
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $7.5
Potential payout: $71.4
Potential profit: $63.9
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $1.78

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.57

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.94

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.85

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.79

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.68

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.71

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $3.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.79

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.51

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.05

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.92

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on February 21?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35

Up position

BNB Up or Down - June 21, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.31

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?

Yes 8% 70.31 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

Yes 12% 33.47 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Yes 74% 3.27 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Yes 15.7% 13.88 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Yes 61% 3.28 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Yes 7.2% 13.89 shares
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

Up 77% 5.58 shares
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Up 79.2% 5.58 shares
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET

Up 65% 5.04 shares
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

Down 91% 5.04 shares
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET

Up 83% 5.04 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

Down 82% 5.04 shares