Polymarket Trader

0x9378B3F78fEefc97D74bDeC18618582Af7788427-1760116606254

0x9378b3f78feefc97d74bdec18618582af7788427

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.94K
Realized PnL: $544.83
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $76.96
Potential payout: $4.16K
Potential profit: $4.08K
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: $44.32

Yes position

Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $9.5
Potential payout: $3.8K
Potential profit: $3.79K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$5.7

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 86.7%
Current value: $2.7K
Potential payout: $3.12K
Potential profit: $416.29
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: -$85.08

Yes position

Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $46.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.95K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$71.23

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $1.16K
Potential payout: $2.13K
Potential profit: $966.96
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $165.07

Yes position

Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $5.95
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $1.69K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$4.25

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $677.92
Potential payout: $948.14
Potential profit: $270.22
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $69.3

Yes position

Will Tereza Cristina finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $2.13
Potential payout: $850
Potential profit: $847.88
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$2.13

Yes position

Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $10.8
Potential payout: $799.99
Potential profit: $789.19
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$6.62

No position

Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 87.1%
Current value: $419.79
Potential payout: $481.97
Potential profit: $62.17
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $8.17

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $280.36
Potential payout: $326
Potential profit: $45.64
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $20.14

Yes position

Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $220.99
Potential payout: $311.25
Potential profit: $90.26
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: $4.17

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $34.14
Potential payout: $200.84
Potential profit: $166.7
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: -$33.77

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 24.4%
Current value: $48.7
Potential payout: $200.01
Potential profit: $151.31
Multiplier: 4.11x
User PnL: -$1.3

Yes position

Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $33.75
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $116.25
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $2.25

Yes position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $104.24
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $45.77
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: -$4.76

Yes position

Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $53.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $46.5
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $22.5

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $26.9
Potential payout: $71.74
Potential profit: $44.84
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: -$4.45

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 13.6%
Current value: $7.86
Potential payout: $58
Potential profit: $50.14
Multiplier: 7.38x
User PnL: $1.65

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $5.32
Potential payout: $56
Potential profit: $50.68
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $1.96

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $10.18
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $44.83
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$0.27

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $102.94

No position

Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $87.83

No position

Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $82.42

No position

Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $74.47

No position

Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $71.7

Yes position

Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $62.73

No position

Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 46%
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: $24.98

Yes position

Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $13.13

No position

Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
User PnL: $8.8

No position

Will Fernando Haddad finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $6.57

No position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $6.11

Yes position

Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.67

Yes position

Will Trump say "Border" during the Black History Month reception?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.35

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: $2.63

Yes position

Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: $1.52

Yes position

Will Trump say "Jesse" or "Jackson" during the Black History Month reception?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05

Yes position

Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Black American" 5+ times during the Black History Month reception?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.78

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $5 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.9

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 8°C or higher on February 18?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.47

No position

Will Trump say "Gas" or "Gasoline" during the Black History Month reception?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8.68

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 84.3% 180 shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 83.2% 44.69 shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 83.6% 29.8 shares
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 1.3% 2,000 shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 83.1% 19 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 40% 5 shares
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 6.6% 172.42 shares
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 83.6% 120 shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 87.1% 39 shares
Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 2.9% 160.04 shares
Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 1.7% 500 shares
Will Tereza Cristina finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 0.5% 850 shares