No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $29.86
- Potential payout
- $133
- Potential profit
- $103.14
- Multiplier
- 4.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Polymarket Trader
Valk3832
0x93804808aff537ac6a275a73f8b400962a75cf36
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $288.09
- Realized PnL
- $381.14
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Venezuela become 51st state?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $112.92
- Potential payout
- $116.83
- Potential profit
- $3.91
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $2.91
No position
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $71.66
- Potential payout
- $76.64
- Potential profit
- $4.98
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $11.65
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $73.66
- Potential payout
- $75.43
- Potential profit
- $1.77
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $3.66
Yes position
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.08
- Potential profit
- $35.08
- User PnL
- -$20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $66.78
No position
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.15
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.87
Yes position
Will Partido Popular (PP) win the 2026 Castilla y León Regional Election?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.32
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.4
No position
Will Edmundo González Urrutia visit Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.82
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.77
Yes position
Will Partido Popular (PP) win the Andalusia regional election?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.52
Yes position
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $12.05
No position
Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.18
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.76
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.67
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.85
No position
US strike on Cuba by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.47
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $9.09
No position
Will María Corina Machado visit Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.05
Yes position
Will the Liberal Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.59
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.41
No position
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.59
No position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.19
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.46
Yes position
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.13
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.69
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.32
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?No 99.6% 206.48 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Yes 6% 150 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No 78% 25.63 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 99.9% 70.74 shares
- Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?No 89.6% 78.11 shares
- Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?No 89.6% 78.11 shares
- Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes 39% 87.02 shares
- Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes 73% 15.4 shares
- José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?Yes 20% 50 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 84.7% 23.52 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?No 93.5% 21.4 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 90% 22.22 shares