Polymarket Trader

carlaAB

0x938673ccaa2dabaab91080c0c591628187bbfdfe

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $37.47K
Realized PnL: $98.21K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94.1%
Current value: $14.11K
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $892.5
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $112.5

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$9.2K

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $9.88K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $125
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $975

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $7.8K
Potential payout: $9.68K
Potential profit: $1.89K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $145.26

No position

Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $2.52K
Potential payout: $6.08K
Potential profit: $3.56K
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$3.08K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.32K
Potential profit: $5.32K
User PnL: -$1K

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$3.4K

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$3.35K

Magic position

Pistons vs. Magic

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$1.52K

Yes position

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.9K
Potential profit: $3.9K
User PnL: -$547.58

Yes position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $3.17K
Potential payout: $3.24K
Potential profit: $74.57
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $839.39

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.15K
Potential profit: $3.15K
User PnL: -$918.77

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$2.3K

Natus Vincere position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$1.69K

Pistons position

Cavaliers vs. Pistons

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$1.26K

T1 position

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$780

JD Gaming position

LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$855

Lakers position

Rockets vs. Lakers

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$915

Monte position

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.16K
Potential profit: $1.16K
User PnL: -$323.86

No position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $610
Potential profit: $610
User PnL: -$183

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the government shutdown end November 12?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.64K

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: $6.97K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.52K

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.64K

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.68K

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.52K

Yes position

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.35K

Pacers position

Heat vs. Pacers

Ends Nov 24, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.33K

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.48K

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33K

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.16K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.13K

Connecticut Huskies position

Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.99K

Yes position

Liverpool wins the Premier League?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.67K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.61K

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5K

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.46K

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.39K

No position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.36K

No position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.34K

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.31K

Yes position

Will the Las Vegas Aces win the 2025 WNBA Championship?

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.96K

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.91K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Vitality 68% 5,000 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Spirit 76% 2,000 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 93.3% 15,000 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 99.2% 14,348.69 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 92% 10,000 shares
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

No 93% 1,077.81 shares
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Natus Vincere 56% 999.99 shares
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Natus Vincere 56.6% 2,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 76.6% 3,000 shares
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Vitality 81.7% 3,362.24 shares
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI

T1 29% 2,000 shares
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Monte 27.9% 1,161.48 shares