Polymarket Trader

banhz

0x938814df785ed956840ab63039715527bf74c4d0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $623.31
Realized PnL: $76.98
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $310
Potential payout: $310
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $266.6

No position

Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74%
Current value: $75.85
Potential payout: $102.5
Potential profit: $26.65
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: $55.85

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.2%
Current value: $19.15
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $80.85
Multiplier: 5.22x
User PnL: -$15.85

No position

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $7.81
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $54.69
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$2.19

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$20.4

No position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $36.59
Potential payout: $39.13
Potential profit: $2.54
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $6.59

No position

Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.79
Potential profit: $32.79
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.62
Potential profit: $31.62
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $30
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $18.6

Yes position

Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $6.03
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $23.38
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$3.97

No position

Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $28.57
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $8.57

No position

Will Italy join the Board of Peace?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $27.03
Potential payout: $27.03
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $7.03

Yes position

Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.03
Potential profit: $27.03
User PnL: -$10

No position

AWS service disrupted by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.21
Potential profit: $26.21
User PnL: -$20

No position

Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $22.22
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $12.22

Yes position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $2.11
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $20.11
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$7.89

No position

Will India join the Board of Peace?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $21.28
Potential payout: $21.28
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $11.28

Yes position

Will the US strike 2 countries in February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.41
Potential profit: $20.41
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $20
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will Trump's approval rating be less than 40.0 on January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.24
Potential profit: $17.24
User PnL: -$5

No position

GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $16.67
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $6.67

Yes position

Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5.1

Down position

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.33
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.64

No position

Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.9

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 24, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.67

Yes position

Will the US strike Somalia next?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.29

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?

No 60% 16.67 shares
Will Trump visit China by April 30?

No 14% 310 shares
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?

Yes 34% 60 shares
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Yes 51% 10 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

Yes 45% 22.22 shares
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

No 16% 62.5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET

Up 39% 24.92 shares
Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28?

No 88% 7.5 shares
Will the US strike 2 countries in February 2026?

Yes 49% 20.41 shares
AWS service disrupted by March 31?

No 76.3% 26.21 shares
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?

No 61% 32.79 shares
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?

No 66.9% 29.9 shares