No position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $24.97
- Potential payout
- $25.93
- Potential profit
- $0.96
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Polymarket Trader
wille
0x93a60e9c35d59a73cbac52425cae92d68b905daa
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $158.22
- Realized PnL
- $173.29
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on July 7?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $24.89
- Potential payout
- $25.35
- Potential profit
- $0.47
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
ChatGPT Outage by April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$18.25
No position
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $20
- Potential payout
- $21.21
- Potential profit
- $1.21
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $18.1
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $1.9
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 82.8%
- Current value
- $14.85
- Potential payout
- $17.95
- Potential profit
- $3.1
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $14.99
- Potential payout
- $15.48
- Potential profit
- $0.49
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $10.51
- Potential payout
- $11.49
- Potential profit
- $0.98
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.63
Yes position
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $9.89
- Potential payout
- $11.36
- Potential profit
- $1.48
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $10.06
- Potential payout
- $10.82
- Potential profit
- $0.76
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $9.95
- Potential payout
- $10.64
- Potential profit
- $0.69
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $58.57
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.92
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $126k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.8
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.47
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.17
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.82
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.09
Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.6T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
No position
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.31
Yes position
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.3
No position
Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.08
Yes position
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.88
Yes position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
No position
Will Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32
No position
Gensyn FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26
Yes position
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
Yes position
Will Solana reach $160 in October?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?No 94.3% 21.21 shares
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 96.4% 25.93 shares
- Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?No 83.6% 17.95 shares
- Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 88% 11.36 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on July 7?No 98.6% 25.35 shares
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No 92.4% 10.82 shares
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No 94% 10.64 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?No 96.9% 15.48 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?Yes 4% 119.3 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?Yes 8% 60 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?Yes 9% 150 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?Yes 9% 119.99 shares