No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $4.06
Polymarket Trader
nigel564persephone
0x93a87553bd629b67b58716aac8b0ea8171291183
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $9.01
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Yes position
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.57
Yes position
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference?
Ends Jun 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 45-46°F on March 18?
Ends Mar 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $4.06
Yes position
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.57
Yes position
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference?
Ends Jun 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 45-46°F on March 18?
Ends Mar 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will Elon tweet 575-599 times March 14-21?
Ends Mar 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times March 21-28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Ethereum above $2,200 on March 14?
Ends Mar 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will 'Snow White' gross between 39-44m on opening weekend?
Ends Mar 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 45°F or below on March 21?
Ends Mar 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% or more in April?
Ends May 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 52-53°F on March 25?
Ends Mar 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Arsenal finish in the top 4 of the EPL?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times March 21-28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times March 14-21?
Ends Mar 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No 97% 29 shares
- Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No 77% 41 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 76% 14 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes 3.2% 36 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No 37% 4.82 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 17% 146 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 17% 146 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 84.1% 41 shares
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No 98.5% 35 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 95.9% 36 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 25% 36 shares
- Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No 98.5% 32 shares