Polymarket Trader

PeterOrtiz5487

0x93c01bde7d65df589d4f542a81153ab9b217b919

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.66K
Realized PnL: $1.35K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 54%
Current value: $563.76
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $480.24
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: $354.96

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer say "Iran" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $812
Potential profit: $812
User PnL: -$535.92

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $759
Potential payout: $759
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $371.91

CD Tolima position

Spread: Millonarios FC (-1.5)

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $691
Potential profit: $691
User PnL: -$504.43

No position

Will Cuiabá EC vs. América FC end in a draw?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $580
Potential profit: $580
User PnL: -$80.62

No position

Will the US strike Somalia next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $454
Potential profit: $454
User PnL: -$258.78

No position

Will Trump say "Russia" or "Russian" during oil executive meetings on Friday?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $374
Potential profit: $374
User PnL: -$160.82

Over position

Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $272
Potential profit: $272
User PnL: -$95.2

No position

Will 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be less than 300k?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $272
Potential profit: $272
User PnL: -$51.68

Yes position

Will the New England Patriots be eliminated in the Conference Championship Round?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $272
Potential profit: $272
User PnL: -$51.68

No position

Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $205
Potential payout: $205
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $8.57

No position

Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $174
Potential profit: $174
User PnL: -$64.03

No position

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $137
Potential payout: $137
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $4.25

Yes position

Will Trump say "Border" at the FIFA World Cup Draw on December 5?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $112
Potential profit: $112
User PnL: -$38.08

No position

Will OpenAI GPT score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96
Potential profit: $96
User PnL: -$12.48

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84
Potential profit: $84
User PnL: -$13.44

No position

Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52
Potential profit: $52
User PnL: -$33.28

Yes position

Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29
Potential profit: $29
User PnL: -$10.15

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on January 7, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28
Potential profit: $28
User PnL: -$17.36

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on December 5?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23
Potential profit: $23
User PnL: -$9.4

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 7?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.71
Potential profit: $22.71
User PnL: -$4.31

No position

U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $20.83
User PnL: -$11.46

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Odds of Maduro out in 2025 Over 25% by Friday?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$0.47

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will UConn advance to the Final Four?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $507.86

Yes position

Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.3

Yes position

Will "Stateside + Zara Larsson - PinkPantheress, Zara Larsson" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.21

No position

Will Iran strike Syria in March?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.1

Yes position

Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 16.5%
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $69.91

No position

Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $62.64

No position

Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.49

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 5?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.45

No position

Will "The Abandons" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (December 9, 2025)

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.58

No position

Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on December 5?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.34

No position

Over $22M committed to the Space public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.15

No position

Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.05

No position

Will Medline's market cap be between $55B and $65B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.26

Yes position

Another crypto hack over $100m before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.72

No position

Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.32

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.6

Yes position

Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.69

No position

Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.74

Yes position

Will "Golden - KPop Demon Hunters" win Best Original Song - Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

No position

Will Maduro's rule survive a US military engagement?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.86

No position

Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12

No position

Will Trump say "Anniversary" at the FIFA World Cup Draw on December 5?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.84

Yes position

Will Train Dreams be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.75

Yes position

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 34%
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: $11.16

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Spread: Millonarios FC (-1.5)

CD Tolima 73% 691 shares
Will Trump say "Two weeks" this week? (April 12)

No 19% 705 shares
Will Trump say "Two weeks" this week? (April 12)

No 19% 43 shares
Will Trump say "Two weeks" this week? (April 12)

No 47% 748 shares
Will 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be less than 300k?

No 19% 272 shares
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?

No 60% 673 shares
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?

No 60% 23 shares
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

No 27% 559 shares
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?

No 65% 288 shares
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?

No 51% 696 shares
Will Cuiabá EC vs. América FC end in a draw?

No 13.9% 580 shares
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

No 30% 559 shares