Polymarket Trader

dailiangtian

0x93c455da57b38fc63abb2e88d7f43df3c9d9998e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $77.4
Realized PnL: $24.55
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $35.44
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $1.09K
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: $17.44

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $118.05
Potential profit: $118.05
User PnL: -$22.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.33
Potential profit: $100.33
User PnL: -$15.05

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $41.96
Potential payout: $41.96
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $35.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.1
Potential profit: $35.1
User PnL: -$6.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.36
Potential profit: $28.36
User PnL: -$11.25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.64

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.95

No position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.21

No position

Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.81

Yes position

Gemini 3.2 released by May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.94

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.6

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 94.3%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.3%
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

SBF released from custody in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Opinion FDV above $4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.7%
Multiplier: 4.83x
User PnL: $0

No position

Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93.2%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.17

No position

Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.4

No position

Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 0.3% 333.33 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 14.3% 41.96 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

No 23.5% 200 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Yes 75.7% 200 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 38% 200 shares
Gemini 3.2 released by May 19, 2026?

Yes 86% 93.93 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 42% 200 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.6% 1,125 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.5% 1,200 shares
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Yes 5% 200 shares
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Yes 2.8% 180 shares
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Yes 1.8% 17.91 shares