Polymarket Trader

eduplain

0x93c943d0572ad3222efb1d6690829c813b0fc29a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $177.14
Realized PnL: $111.94
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $58.04
Potential payout: $100.08
Potential profit: $42.03
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: $21.91

No position

Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy booster?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $69.27
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $0.73
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $6.07

Yes position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 36%
Current value: $17.63
Potential payout: $48.97
Potential profit: $31.34
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: -$9.79

Yes position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $32.2
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $7.8
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$9.58

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Artemis II launch by April 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.31

No position

Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2AM ET

Ends Sep 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10AM ET

Ends Sep 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3AM ET

Ends Sep 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Yes position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by October 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.47

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.4

Yes position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 Superheavy explode?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1AM ET

Ends Sep 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.9

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 60-70 million views on week 1?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.8

No position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.78

No position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.73

No position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.66

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.54

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.5

No position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10PM ET

Ends Sep 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.4

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.18

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.07

Yes position

Will 4-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.95

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.65

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.6

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Yes 0.2% 5.99 shares
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 achieve a successful splashdown?

Yes 75% 5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

No 95% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

No 93% 20 shares
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?

Yes 84% 4.99 shares
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

No 99.9% 95 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

No 98% 9.99 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

No 98.3% 9.99 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

No 99.5% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

No 99.7% 51.94 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

No 97.6% 41.95 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

No 98.7% 52 shares