Yes position
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $109.82
- Potential payout
- $16.9K
- Potential profit
- $16.79K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$14.95
Polymarket Trader
ajaaja
0x93d44e7cb426a5a1085cc0ce314b8f2befba7345
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $25.25K
- Realized PnL
- $4.12K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $5.9K
- Potential payout
- $5.98K
- Potential profit
- $80.68
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $356.66
No position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $758.37
- Potential payout
- $5.62K
- Potential profit
- $4.86K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$2.99K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $282.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.72K
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- $22.5
No position
Will Hillary Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $3.18K
- Potential payout
- $3.2K
- Potential profit
- $17.59
- User PnL
- $130.17
No position
Will Marco Rubio be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $2.57K
- Potential payout
- $2.58K
- Potential profit
- $7.75
- User PnL
- $103.71
No position
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $2.26K
- Potential payout
- $2.28K
- Potential profit
- $19.4
- User PnL
- $194.63
No position
Will Jay-Z be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $1.82K
- Potential payout
- $1.83K
- Potential profit
- $18.34
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $43.39
No position
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $1.55K
- Potential payout
- $1.75K
- Potential profit
- $201.25
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $16.25
No position
Will Peter Attia be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $1.73K
- Potential payout
- $1.75K
- Potential profit
- $13.97
- User PnL
- $214.13
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $149.25
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.35K
- Multiplier
- 10.05x
- User PnL
- -$69.75
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.33K
- Potential profit
- $1.33K
- User PnL
- -$1.18K
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on March 22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- User PnL
- -$1.1K
No position
Will Bill Cosby be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $1.27K
- Potential payout
- $1.28K
- Potential profit
- $8.3
- User PnL
- $93.82
No position
US strikes Iraq by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.12K
- Potential profit
- $1.12K
- User PnL
- -$960.62
No position
Will Kevin Spacey be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $971
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $29
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $12.5
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$770
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $986.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $13.5
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $346.5
Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $75
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $925
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$245
Under position
France vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$690
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $875
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $125
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $105
Iraq position
Spread: Senegal (-2.5)
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $759.98
- Potential payout
- $999.97
- Potential profit
- $239.99
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.97
- Potential profit
- $999.97
- User PnL
- -$629.98
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $510.04
Yes position
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $350
No position
GTA VI released before June 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $337.41
No position
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $269.43
Yes position
Will MrBeast hit 116 billion views by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230.59
Over position
Racing Club de Lens vs. OGC Nice: O/U 2.5
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225
No position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $186
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182.7
No position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $158.56
Yes position
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-05-21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.56
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by February 28?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.36
Yes position
Will MrBeast hit 115 billion views by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.84
No position
U.S. Congress member out over Epstein files by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.1
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.77
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.02
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.36
No position
Evidence Epstein blackmailed politicians released by Jan 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.59
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74
No position
Nancy Guthrie kidnapper arrested by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.21
No position
Will MrBeast hit 120 billion views by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Spread: Germany (-3.5)Germany 47% 1,500 shares
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC 33% 499.99 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 77% 41.36 shares
- Will Jay-Z be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No 97.8% 118.08 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.2% 5,000 shares
- Will Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No 98% 257.61 shares
- Will Peter Attia be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No 97% 71.86 shares
- OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?No 42% 200 shares
- Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in May 2026?No 97% 1.6 shares
- Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.8% 6,895.9 shares
- Will Kevin Spacey be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No 95.9% 500 shares
- Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool?Yes 85.9% 47.42 shares