Polymarket Trader

romanew-5-15p

0x93e2ba92f5148827725df5ed936c0952e72092b9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $16.32
Realized PnL: $165.64
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $2.1
Potential payout: $110.51
Potential profit: $108.41
Multiplier: 52.63x
User PnL: -$7.9

Yes position

Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $1.19
Potential payout: $72.42
Potential profit: $71.23
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$3.44

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.81
Potential profit: $64.81
User PnL: -$3.5

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 6, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.51
Potential profit: $50.51
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $7.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $42.75
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$2.75

No position

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$3.5

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.7
Potential profit: $40.7
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $32.13
Potential profit: $31.15
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 15m?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.23
Potential profit: $28.23
User PnL: -$3.5

No position

Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.05
Potential profit: $25.05
User PnL: -$2.33

Yes position

Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 33m?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.97
Potential profit: $23.97
User PnL: -$3.5

No position

Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.44
Potential profit: $19.44
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 44m and 48m?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16
Potential profit: $16
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.22
Potential payout: $15.12
Potential profit: $14.9
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$2.44

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.05
Potential profit: $15.05
User PnL: -$1.05

No position

Will Masoud Pezeshkian sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.2
Potential profit: $12.2
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.77
Potential profit: $11.77
User PnL: -$1.77

Yes position

Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $0.59
Potential payout: $9.81
Potential profit: $9.22
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$4.41

Yes position

Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 41.6%
Current value: $3.96
Potential payout: $9.52
Potential profit: $5.56
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$0.15

No position

Arcium FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.94
Potential profit: $8.94
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $8.42
Potential profit: $8.39
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$0.47

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 June 1-7?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.22
Potential profit: $7.22
User PnL: -$3.32

Yes position

Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.28
Potential profit: $6.28
User PnL: -$1.68

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 100 and 110 seconds?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.51

Yes position

Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be purple?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.29

No position

Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $205 on March 2?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.48

Yes position

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.22

No position

Will "Louis Theroux: Inside The Manosphere" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.24

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.21

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.01

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.78

Yes position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $170-$175 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.68

No position

Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.3

No position

Will Keldon Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.08

Yes position

Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.88

Yes position

Will XRP dip to $1.00 June 1-7?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.82

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.67

Yes position

Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get at least 150M views in its first 7 days?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.54

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.34

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.74

Yes position

Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.72

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.34

No position

Will Ricky Martin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.3

Yes position

Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.3

Yes position

Will Khamenei tweet again by March 5?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.1

Yes position

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Chicago Bulls?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.09

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.01

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Israel closes its airspace by May 31?

Yes 20% 20.59 shares
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?

Yes 1.7% 18.16 shares
Will Elizabeth Warren vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?

Yes 5% 13.89 shares
Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?

Yes 1% 13.05 shares
Military action against Iran ends on April 11, 2026?

Yes 8.9% 20 shares
Will Carlos Álvarez finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 6.8% 6.4 shares
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 2.3% 95 shares
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?

Yes 14.4% 5 shares
Will GBP/USD hit 1.25 (Low) in 2026?

Yes 26% 7.56 shares
Will David Bailey be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?

Yes 14% 10 shares
Will Elon Musk post 1600-1679 tweets in April 2026?

Yes 2.2% 30.2 shares
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit 4750 (LOW) in March?

Yes 0.1% 7.23 shares