Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $46.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $3.25
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.75
Polymarket Trader
Lightwood12
0x93ea214c8749b52437789defbca9f9f036469e65
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $46.75
- Realized PnL
- $4.81
- Win rate
- 92.9%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Flyers position
Flyers vs. Penguins
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.42
- Potential profit
- $34.42
- User PnL
- -$15.49
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.59
- Potential profit
- $10.59
- User PnL
- -$8
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.64
- Potential profit
- $3.64
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $80,000 on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 90% 50 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 97.7% 51.18 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 5?Yes 99.6% 16.06 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 5?Yes 75.5% 10.59 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 5?Yes 18% 16.67 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 21?No 98.1% 27.52 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 97.4% 26.99 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 96.3% 27 shares
- Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?Yes 94% 26.6 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 96.5% 25.72 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 97.2% 25.72 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 94% 26.88 shares