Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.6%
- Current value
- $11.9K
- Potential payout
- $60.89K
- Potential profit
- $48.99K
- Multiplier
- 5.12x
- User PnL
- -$18.54K
Polymarket Trader
TPAA
@PrimerBitcoin
0x93ef12bfc73651880a24c0679333cc4ca0dc468b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $67.17K
- Realized PnL
- $21.55K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $48.99K
- Potential payout
- $60.89K
- Potential profit
- $11.9K
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $18.54K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $50K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $31.43
- Potential payout
- $5.71K
- Potential profit
- $5.68K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$8.57
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $197.55
- Potential payout
- $4.44K
- Potential profit
- $4.24K
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- -$309.01
Yes position
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $18
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $3.98K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$14
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.4K
- Potential profit
- $2.4K
- User PnL
- -$232
No position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.3K
- Potential profit
- $2.3K
- User PnL
- -$5.3
No position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 63%
- Current value
- $1.32K
- Potential payout
- $2.1K
- Potential profit
- $777.74
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- -$512.51
No position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $1.89K
- Potential payout
- $2.02K
- Potential profit
- $131.38
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$10.1
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Current value
- $113.66
- Potential payout
- $1.55K
- Potential profit
- $1.43K
- Multiplier
- 13.61x
- User PnL
- -$36.34
N
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $91.65
- Potential payout
- $1.41K
- Potential profit
- $1.32K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$63.45
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.24K
- Potential profit
- $1.24K
- User PnL
- -$438.12
Up position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$48
Yes position
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $90B and $100B at market close on IPO day?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$208
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $858
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $342
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.12K
- Potential profit
- $1.12K
- User PnL
- -$237.64
Yes position
Will Elon Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- User PnL
- -$1.06K
No position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $690.02
- Potential payout
- $862.53
- Potential profit
- $172.51
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$86.25
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $661.67
- Potential payout
- $723.14
- Potential profit
- $61.47
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $135.17
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $700
- User PnL
- -$23.1
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.34
- Potential payout
- $673
- Potential profit
- $672.66
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$63.97
Yes position
Chirayu Rana divorced?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $1.98
- Potential payout
- $566.72
- Potential profit
- $564.74
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$121.45
No position
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $398.87
- Potential payout
- $474.85
- Potential profit
- $75.98
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $256.42
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.47K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14K
No position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.59K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
Ben Shelton position
BMW Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Ben Shelton
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $852
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $774.38
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $770.5
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $750.86
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $666.8
Yes position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $600.05
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $528
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $511.89
No position
Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $100B at market close on IPO day?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $498.3
Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine position
Abidjan: Michael Geerts vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $484.26
No position
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $447.79
Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi position
Campinas: Juan Bautista Torres vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $416.01
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $415.71
Daniil Glinka position
Tallahassee: Daniil Glinka vs Darwin Blanch
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $408.62
Connecticut Huskies position
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $390.83
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $387.6
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $372.6
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $365.09
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $341.51
Tom Gentzsch position
Oeiras 3: Henrique Rocha vs Tom Gentzsch
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $340.12
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?No 89% 723.13 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?Yes 99.9% 234.5 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 90.1% 335.02 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?No 67% 746.27 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 24% 1,210.21 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?Yes 6.5% 65 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 41% 1,000 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 66% 265.16 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes 28.7% 778.34 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No 30% 200 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?Yes 7.3% 805 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 54% 10 shares