Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $1.52K
- Potential payout
- $434.77K
- Potential profit
- $433.24K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$32.07K
Polymarket Trader
LlamaLoco0000
@LlamaLoco0000
0x93fb8127a1b21a112b11af936361225df0563e4a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $279.75K
- Realized PnL
- $844K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $62.22K
- Potential payout
- $336.34K
- Potential profit
- $274.12K
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$9.67K
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $1.84K
- Potential payout
- $334.29K
- Potential profit
- $332.45K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$23.88K
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $28.84K
- Potential payout
- $303.58K
- Potential profit
- $274.74K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$58.44K
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.86K
- Potential payout
- $286.12K
- Potential profit
- $284.26K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$34.97K
Yes position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $1.99K
- Potential payout
- $265.69K
- Potential profit
- $263.7K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$34K
Yes position
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $21.04K
- Potential payout
- $221.53K
- Potential profit
- $200.48K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$8.78K
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $33.1K
- Potential payout
- $200.6K
- Potential profit
- $167.5K
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$6.07K
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $43.14K
- Potential payout
- $183.59K
- Potential profit
- $140.45K
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$2.81K
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $181.83K
- Potential profit
- $181.83K
- User PnL
- -$8.05K
Yes position
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $1.36K
- Potential payout
- $129.47K
- Potential profit
- $128.11K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$8.03K
Yes position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $695.37
- Potential payout
- $126.43K
- Potential profit
- $125.74K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$9K
Yes position
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $7.57K
- Potential payout
- $126.23K
- Potential profit
- $118.66K
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.99K
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $14.12K
- Potential payout
- $122.77K
- Potential profit
- $108.66K
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$6.56K
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $110.93K
- Potential profit
- $110.93K
- User PnL
- -$52.41K
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $13.81K
- Potential payout
- $102.26K
- Potential profit
- $88.45K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$6.17K
Yes position
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $11.85K
- Potential payout
- $94.78K
- Potential profit
- $82.93K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $2.41K
Yes position
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $10.08K
- Potential payout
- $80.6K
- Potential profit
- $70.53K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$8.63K
Yes position
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $7.35K
- Potential payout
- $69.96K
- Potential profit
- $62.61K
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$2.34K
Yes position
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $376.3
- Potential payout
- $68.42K
- Potential profit
- $68.04K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$4.5K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $1.29K
- Potential payout
- $66.26K
- Potential profit
- $64.97K
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$3.72K
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.3%
- Current value
- $8.21K
- Potential payout
- $61.99K
- Potential profit
- $53.77K
- Multiplier
- 7.55x
- User PnL
- -$814.83
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $2.04K
- Potential payout
- $60.9K
- Potential profit
- $58.86K
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- -$2.61K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.7%
- Current value
- $5.44K
- Potential payout
- $50.82K
- Potential profit
- $45.39K
- Multiplier
- 9.35x
- User PnL
- -$5.84K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $202.22K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.56K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.63K
Yes position
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.62K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.16K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.31K
Yes position
Biden drops out of presidential race?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.31K
Yes position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.75K
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.81K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.51K
Yes position
US military action against Iran by Monday?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.98K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.31K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.86K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.09K
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.46K
Gold position
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.98K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.74K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.57K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.25K
Yes position
Israel military response against Iran in October?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.76K
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.21K
Yes position
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.94K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.6K
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.37K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?Yes 31% 1,539.34 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 14% 11,326.1 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 14% 25,662.08 shares
- Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 54.9% 1,370.8 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?Yes 10% 2,260 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 15.4% 25,000 shares
- US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Yes 41% 1,868.53 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?Yes 21% 11 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes 77.1% 6,374.38 shares
- Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?Yes 34% 1,250 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 63.9% 70.43 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 15% 5,000 shares