Polymarket Trader

CharlesTaylor6282

0x941ac4ce792e29713aa83b8074a6b37824ff90c4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $642.79
Realized PnL: $614.8
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $349
Potential payout: $349
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $64.22

Yes position

Sentient FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $212
Potential profit: $212
User PnL: -$19.08

No position

Over $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $81.04
Potential payout: $169
Potential profit: $87.96
Multiplier: 2.09x
User PnL: $49.74

Yes position

Will Flying Tulip launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $82
Potential payout: $82
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $14.76

No position

Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 5?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67
Potential profit: $67
User PnL: -$2.08

No position

Will Nicholas Finan advance from the CA-17 primary?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $66
Potential payout: $66
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $12.54

No position

Will A House of Dynamite be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $46
Potential payout: $46
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.84

No position

Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16
Potential profit: $16
User PnL: -$2.88

Yes position

Will Trump say "Pam" or "Bondi" at Rocky Mount events on Friday?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $11
User PnL: -$2.64

Yes position

Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $8.82
Potential payout: $9
Potential profit: $0.18
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.79

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on December 21?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $4
User PnL: -$2.28

Yes position

Trove FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3
Potential profit: $3
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3
Potential profit: $3
User PnL: -$1.23

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.66

Yes position

Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.53

No position

Will the Orlando Magic win more than 51.5 regular season games in 2025–26?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will Let God Sort Em Out (Clipse Pusha T Malice) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.23

No position

Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders announce a presidential run before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0.02
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will Gold Mansacks win the Orderly trading competition?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will Infinex launch a token by March 31, 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $0.94
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0.06
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.85

No position

Will three people dissent the December Fed decision?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.57

No position

Will the Miami Heat win more than 37.5 regular season games in 2025–26?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Philadelphia Eagles be eliminated in the Wild Card Round?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70

Yes position

Will the Washington Wizards win more than 20.5 regular season games in 2025–26?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $63.33

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in January 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.68

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 25?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.07

No position

Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.44

No position

Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.08

Yes position

Over $800M raised on Coinbase in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 35%
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: $30.36

Yes position

Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.89

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in December 2025?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $25.7

Yes position

Will Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent) win Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.08

No position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win more than 62.5 regular season games in 2025–26?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.08

Yes position

Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.43

No position

Will Daniel Baluta finish third in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.84

No position

Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 78%
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $17.4

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on November 21?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.28

Yes position

Anduril IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $14.94

No position

Will 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be at least 200k?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.48

Yes position

Will the 2025–2026 edition of Dick Clark's New Year's Rockin' Eve have between 22.5 million and 25 million viewers?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.44

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in January 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.7

No position

Will Daylight launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.68

Yes position

Will MrBeast hit 460 Million subscribers by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.68

Yes position

Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.68

Yes position

Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $11.38

No position

Another Elon baby by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.16

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Kraken IPO closing market cap above $28B?

No 88% 11 shares
Aztec FDV above $2B one day after launch?

No 99.1% 26 shares
Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?

No 92% 27 shares
Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?

No 92% 186 shares
No one announced as next James Bond?

No 46% 248 shares
Will John Harbaugh join the New York Giants prior to April 23, 2026?

No 57% 31 shares
Will Nicholas Finan advance from the CA-17 primary?

No 79% 492 shares
Will John Harbaugh join the New York Giants prior to April 23, 2026?

No 40% 20 shares
Will Luís Marques Mendes win between 18% and 20% of votes in the first round?

No 73% 112 shares
Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?

No 76% 213 shares
Will 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be at least 200k?

No 92% 456 shares
Will 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be at least 200k?

No 91% 20 shares