Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.9%
- Current value
- $64.63
- Potential payout
- $310
- Potential profit
- $245.37
- Multiplier
- 4.80x
- User PnL
- -$90.37
Polymarket Trader
426747
0x941c57c9454a4a6e1c4decd0b766ab06e6695db9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $310
- Realized PnL
- $29.6
- Win rate
- 45.5%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.2%
- Current value
- $245.37
- Potential payout
- $310
- Potential profit
- $64.63
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $90.37
Yes position
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $74
- Potential profit
- $74
- User PnL
- -$3.48
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155
Le Moyne Dolphins position
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights vs. Le Moyne Dolphins
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.5
No position
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $4.04
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.81
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.54
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win Vermont by the largest margin?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania US Senate Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.82
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.44
No position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$2.01
No position
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$155
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No 98.9% 30 shares
- Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes 4.7% 74 shares
- Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 98.3% 1,003.8 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 92.5% 1,005 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 92.7% 1,005 shares
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 96.7% 1,000 shares
- Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 98.2% 1,000 shares
- Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 98.6% 1,000 shares
- Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 98.5% 1,000 shares
- Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 98.5% 1,000 shares
- Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 2.5% 1,050 shares
- Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 2.5% 1,050 shares