Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $175
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.83K
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- -$1.91
Polymarket Trader
djl605
0x942b4579263c8629ede662ae05c90f7cdfd5e25e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.2K
- Realized PnL
- $6.01K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $1.46K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $2.54K
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$223.64
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $339.3
- Potential payout
- $2.34K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$220.73
Yes position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $246.25
- Potential payout
- $1.54K
- Potential profit
- $1.29K
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$246.24
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $70
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $930
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$17.69
Yes position
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.1%
- Current value
- $310.81
- Potential payout
- $838.88
- Potential profit
- $528.08
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- $134.49
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $800
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $691
- Potential profit
- $691
- User PnL
- -$324.77
Yes position
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.8%
- Current value
- $60.86
- Potential payout
- $621
- Potential profit
- $560.14
- Multiplier
- 10.20x
- User PnL
- -$126.18
Y
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $208.25
- Potential payout
- $382.11
- Potential profit
- $173.86
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $14.3
Y
Yes position
Will the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $153.77
- Potential payout
- $357.61
- Potential profit
- $203.84
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- $153.77
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $353.3
- Potential profit
- $353.3
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Democrats win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $22.87
- Potential payout
- $351.79
- Potential profit
- $328.92
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$5.28
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $187.25
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $162.75
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $10.61
Y
Yes position
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $211.72
- Potential payout
- $316
- Potential profit
- $104.28
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- $149.78
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $159.08
- Potential payout
- $315
- Potential profit
- $155.93
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$39.38
No position
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $243
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $57
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $93
No position
Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.3%
- Current value
- $135.9
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $164.1
- Multiplier
- 2.21x
- User PnL
- $135.9
No position
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $43.5
- Potential payout
- $299.99
- Potential profit
- $256.49
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$25.5
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 39%
- Current value
- $84.31
- Potential payout
- $216.18
- Potential profit
- $131.87
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- -$56.71
Yes position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $24.98
- Potential payout
- $185
- Potential profit
- $160.03
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$22.77
Yes position
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $58.5
- Potential payout
- $151.95
- Potential profit
- $93.45
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $17.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Wisconsin judge convicted for obstructing immigration operation?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16K
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 Superheavy explode?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $631.92
Yes position
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 achieve a successful splashdown?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $446.82
Yes position
Will the government shutdown end November 12?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $338.07
No position
Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $313.09
No position
Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $262.14
Yes position
Will the government shutdown end November 13?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $257.32
No position
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $252.02
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $246
No position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $207.05
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $173.03
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Muslim" or "Islam" during his victory/concession speech?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156
Yes position
Will the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) win the Bangladesh parliamentary election by 9% or more?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $151.25
Under position
Eagles vs. Packers: O/U 44.5
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150
No position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $149.07
Yes position
Bitcoin all time high by August 31?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.19
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143
Yes position
Will Curtis Sliwa get less than 10% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.97
Yes position
Israel strikes 3 different countries by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $121.69
No position
Will Israel strike 1 country in November 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.45
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 Superheavy explode?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.51
Yes position
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 achieve a successful splashdown?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116
Lions position
Lions vs. Ravens
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.53
No position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $98.95
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Yes 18% 99.39 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?No 42% 250 shares
- Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?No 50.7% 300 shares
- Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No 91% 222.85 shares
- Will Billy Mawhiney be the Democratic Nominee for SD-AL?No 99.1% 50 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No 32% 300 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No 35.8% 53.3 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No 30% 800 shares
- Will the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat?Yes 52% 357.61 shares
- Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat?Yes 46.1% 367.35 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?No 92% 434.43 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes 33% 3,087.48 shares