Polymarket Trader

Aragorn2023

0x9434bc7343124e53497873b30d7cb4c5e9f9fccf

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $0.44
Win rate: 72.7%
Open positions: 1
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Latest Resolved Positions

No open position details returned

This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on April 4?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.94

Yes position

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.12

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on April 4?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.94

Yes position

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.12

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 9, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will Greece recognize Palestine before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.6%
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$0.69

No position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.81

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Greece recognize Palestine before 2027?

No 73.2% 5.88 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

No 97.2% 5.26 shares
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?

Yes 95% 5.37 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

Down 48% 2.01 shares
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Yes 70% 1.43 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - April 9, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET

Up 99% 1.08 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - April 9, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET

Up 92% 1.08 shares
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?

Yes 93% 5.38 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

Up 99.4% 1.11 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

Up 89% 1.11 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

Down 79% 1.25 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Up 93% 1.07 shares