No position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $5.31
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $7.19
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $0.31
Polymarket Trader
0x9437...f663
0x94379a497aedc5d495baace2780b9eabf29bf663
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $38.6
- Realized PnL
- $7.14
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above $3.15B?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $6.95
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $3.05
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $1.85
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $5.23
- Potential payout
- $9.42
- Potential profit
- $4.19
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $4.42
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $4.08
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Will Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $7.78
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $0.22
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $3.06
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $3.69
- Potential payout
- $7.1
- Potential profit
- $3.41
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- -$1.42
No position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $5.22
- Potential payout
- $6.07
- Potential profit
- $0.85
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.98
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.77
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95
No position
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.69
No position
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58
No position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.38
Up position
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.64
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.81
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on July 7?Up 25% 6.56 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?No 72% 7.1 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No 73% 6.59 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes 25% 6.64 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No 46% 8.5 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes 55% 9.42 shares
- Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No 74% 6.49 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?Yes 35% 3 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?Yes 47% 9 shares
- Will Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?No 59% 8 shares
- Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?No 81% 6.07 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No 40% 12.5 shares