Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $107.64
- Potential payout
- $861.11
- Potential profit
- $753.47
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $22.64
Polymarket Trader
Nerok
0x9439b660402af9027fad26b53c01145471e6bc47
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $318.37
- Realized PnL
- $14.08
- Win rate
- 44.4%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $98.92
- Potential payout
- $104.68
- Potential profit
- $5.76
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $65.17
Yes position
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.11
- Potential payout
- $71.12
- Potential profit
- $71.01
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$11.89
Yes position
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.21
- Potential payout
- $47.27
- Potential profit
- $47.06
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.69
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $42.67
- Potential payout
- $43.74
- Potential profit
- $1.07
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $28.67
Yes position
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33%
- Current value
- $12.92
- Potential payout
- $39.15
- Potential profit
- $26.23
- Multiplier
- 3.03x
- User PnL
- -$2.08
Yes position
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.08
- Potential payout
- $32.69
- Potential profit
- $32.61
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.92
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $7.79
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $21.62
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$2.21
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $7.44
- Potential payout
- $29.17
- Potential profit
- $21.73
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $0.44
Yes position
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $28.85
- Potential profit
- $28.8
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$5.96
Yes position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $3.19
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $24.58
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$1.81
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $3.98
- Potential payout
- $22.73
- Potential profit
- $18.75
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.02
Yes position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53%
- Current value
- $9.36
- Potential payout
- $17.67
- Potential profit
- $8.3
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- -$0.64
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $0.58
- Potential payout
- $14.37
- Potential profit
- $13.79
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$0.47
Yes position
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
Ends Sep 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 41%
- Current value
- $5.39
- Potential payout
- $13.16
- Potential profit
- $7.76
- Multiplier
- 2.44x
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $12.08
- Potential payout
- $12.2
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- User PnL
- $2.08
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $5.32
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $3.77
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $0.32
Y
Yes position
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $0.64
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $7.86
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$2.36
Yes position
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.94
- Potential profit
- $2.94
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.58
Yes position
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.71
Yes position
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.4
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Yes position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes 70% 42.86 shares
- Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80?Yes 35.3% 8.5 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 89% 6.94 shares
- Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?Yes 34% 2.94 shares
- Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?Yes 6.7% 8.1 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 5.2% 45.49 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 5.2% 200.41 shares
- Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?Yes 34% 37.24 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes 9% 555.56 shares
- Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?Yes 27.4% 73.04 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes 22% 22.73 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes 9% 55.56 shares