Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $16.45K
- Potential payout
- $34.63K
- Potential profit
- $18.18K
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$741.84
Polymarket Trader
DaMonkeyHope
0x943ceb686511fe7aaca6a863b00493e088da1d17
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $21.48K
- Realized PnL
- $26.46K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $21
- Potential payout
- $14K
- Potential profit
- $13.98K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$28.98
No position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.95K
- Potential profit
- $13.95K
- User PnL
- -$9.12K
Yes position
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $6.25
- Potential payout
- $12.5K
- Potential profit
- $12.49K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$43.75
Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $131.82
- Potential payout
- $9.09K
- Potential profit
- $8.96K
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- $31.83
Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $120.9
- Potential payout
- $7.8K
- Potential profit
- $7.68K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$29.8
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $197.65
- Potential payout
- $5.9K
- Potential profit
- $5.7K
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- $97.35
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.75K
- Potential profit
- $5.75K
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $225.75
- Potential payout
- $5.72K
- Potential profit
- $5.49K
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- $25.46
Yes position
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53%
- Current value
- $2.6K
- Potential payout
- $4.9K
- Potential profit
- $2.3K
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- $219.23
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.73K
- Potential profit
- $4.73K
- User PnL
- -$2.91K
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.3K
- Potential profit
- $3.3K
- User PnL
- -$2.22K
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Current value
- $173.79
- Potential payout
- $2.83K
- Potential profit
- $2.65K
- Multiplier
- 16.26x
- User PnL
- $21.2
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $37.95
- Potential payout
- $2.81K
- Potential profit
- $2.77K
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$7.55
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.62K
- Potential profit
- $2.62K
- User PnL
- -$1.05K
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $61.83
- Potential payout
- $2.33K
- Potential profit
- $2.27K
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- $16.34
No position
Spain snap election called in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $1.05K
- Potential payout
- $1.88K
- Potential profit
- $838.42
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$126.1
No position
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 25%
- Current value
- $300
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $899.99
- Multiplier
- 4.00x
- User PnL
- -$24
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$150
No position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $680
- Potential profit
- $680
- User PnL
- -$489.6
No position
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $55.05
- Potential payout
- $579.44
- Potential profit
- $524.39
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$136.17
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $49.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $50.5
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $12.88
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $3.12
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $7.28
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.36K
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.87K
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91K
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28K
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.21K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $964.25
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $951.77
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $862.5
No position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $757.99
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $520.41
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $500.67
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $433.58
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- $397.1
No position
Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 19, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $388.58
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $316.75
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $297.22
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $291.18
No position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $288
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $282.71
Under position
Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $265.64
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.4% 833.33 shares
- Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.3% 6,666.67 shares
- Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.3% 3,333.33 shares
- Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes 98.1% 100 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 66% 294.73 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 89% 2,608.27 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 89% 869.42 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 89% 1,159.23 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 22% 1,860 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 20% 1,860 shares
- Will Iran Play in the World Cup?Yes 97% 1,899.98 shares
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 4% 1,250 shares