Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.3%
- Current value
- $3.69K
- Potential payout
- $35.8K
- Potential profit
- $32.11K
- Multiplier
- 9.71x
- User PnL
- $413.59
Polymarket Trader
Arman2
0x9453a389c73df7991249d9f2c6e2c854157b1a48
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.8K
- Realized PnL
- $32.29K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $115
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.89K
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- -$23
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.26K
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.89K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85K
No position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.66K
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- $2.3K
No position
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.19K
Yes position
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46K
Yes position
Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.42K
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.1%
- Multiplier
- 12.35x
- User PnL
- $1.32K
No position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32K
Yes position
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19K
Yes position
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14K
No position
Will 4–5 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $950.18
Yes position
U.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $866.68
No position
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $856.03
Yes position
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $744.97
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $640.44
Yes position
Will Iran strike Mina Al-Ahmadi Refinery by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $581.17
Yes position
Will there be exactly 2 major space weather events this week?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $551.06
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $547.48
Yes position
Trump kiss by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $534.14
No position
Will 2–3 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $505.18
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $448.56
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 9.3% 55.74 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 10% 900 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 8.8% 110 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 6.9% 2,000 shares
- Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?Yes 99.1% 2,958.02 shares
- Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?Yes 90.1% 2,958.03 shares
- Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?No 8.4% 1,099.89 shares
- Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?No 58% 100 shares
- Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?No 60% 24 shares
- Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?No 60.5% 165.21 shares
- Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?No 61.7% 810.69 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 12.4% 4,033.71 shares